News

Friday 2026-05-15

02:00 PM

HHS Is A Chaos Engine: Marty Makary Out At FDA [Techdirt]

We’ve complained a great deal about RFK Jr.’s stint running HHS and its effects on the health of Americans in the short and long term because, well, there’s a lot to complain about. His anti-vaxxer stances have begun infecting national vaccine policy, of course, and his stance of essentially ignoring an ongoing 17 month measles outbreak have generated national headlines. Regarding measles cases, by the way, the official case count in America is at roughly 80% of the total of last year already, which was itself the highest case count in several decades. I’ll take this moment to remind you that it’s May, not even half way through the year.

But there has also been an insane amount of chaos at HHS and its child agencies under Kennedy. And that chaos isn’t slowing down, it seems, with the announcement that FDA chief Marty Makary will be resigning his post. And, because this is the dumbest of timelines in which we live, the reason behind it appears to be Trump’s push to allow for flavored e-cigarettes to entice the nation’s youth.

Makary’s insiders said the former Johns Hopkins University cancer surgeon resigned after Trump forced his hand on authorizing fruit-flavored e-cigarettes. Makary had reportedly been resisting the sign-offs out of concern that the kid-friendly flavors could again entice youth use and addiction—something public health officials and experts have for years worked to combat. But Makary’s stance was in conflict with Trump’s “save vaping” campaign promise—and with the tobacco industry’s interests.

Earlier this month, The Wall Street Journal reported that Trump had called Makary over a weekend to scold him for not moving fast enough to authorize flavored vapes, particularly menthol, mango, and blueberry flavors from the Los Angeles manufacturer Glas. The FDA authorized those flavored products days later and issued a new policy that would make it easier to market flavored vapes.

The ArsTechnica post goes on to note that Makary had pissed off a bunch of lobbyists for tobacco, pharma, and biotech firms, all while health professionals have been complaining about his participation in Kennedy’s anti-vaxxer nonsense at the FDA as well. He essentially managed to piss off everyone, courting zero allies, which is a remarkable achievement itself.

But the larger story here is that HHS is suffering from a rather damning lack of leadership. Not by performance, but through vacancies of Senate-confirmed people to actually run things.

The firing or resignation of Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Marty Makary is more intra-MAHA chaos at a beleaguered and battered Department of Health and Human Services. 

When you don’t have a CDC Director, an FDA Commissioner, or a Surgeon General, the obvious question is: Why do you have this HHS Secretary? Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., is the cause of much of the chaos that has resulted in these job vacancies. HHS is rotting from the head. 

It really is incredible to realize that those three positions, important as they are, are currently being helmed by acting leadership members at best. There’s a reason those positions exist. They’re not unimportant. But currently, we have essentially temp employees filling them.

Does anyone really believe that American health is a ship that can be successfully steered without a rudder? That’s what’s happening right now, because Trump and Kennedy can’t seem to get anyone across the finish line in the Senate for these roles. And if the ship crashes, we’re all going to pay for it.

11:00 AM

Are You Sick Of This Crap? Here Are Two Who Will Push Back! [The Status Kuo]

Over the past 16 months, we’ve seen a wholesale attack on diversity and representation. Trump’s DOGE goons went after anything with the word “diversity” in it, from research programs to arts funding. Pete Hegseth summarily fired career minority and women military leaders, and then kicked out honorable trans service members from our armed forces. Now the Supreme Court has given the green light to Southern state legislatures to redraw their districts this year to create all-white congressional delegations.

We need to fight back. One way we do is to elect diverse, minority candidates from congressional to local races. We need to work extra hard to ensure our political leaders actually come from and represent our communities and understand our needs and aspirations.

May is AANHPI Heritage month. In recognition of the special importance that has this year, as immigrants and racial minorities come under direct attack from the Trump regime, the Human Rights Campaign has endorsed two AANHPI candidates for office, who are also from our LGBTQ+ community: Eric Chung and Bentley Hudgins.

Donate to Eric and Bentley

Eric is running to flip a U.S. House seat from red to blue in Michigan’s 10th Congressional district. He is a child of Vietnamese immigrants who began his career as a teacher before going to law school and serving as a staffer on the Senate Judiciary Committee. President Biden then appointed him to a senior position at the Commerce Department. This race is an opportunity to flip a U.S. House seat and win back a pro-equality majority.

Bentley is a longtime community organizer and advocate running to represent Georgia’s 90th State House district. Throughout their career, including as HRC’s Georgia State Director, Hudgins organized to build people power, from registering thousands of voters to helping over 20,000 Georgians access COVID vaccines, while fighting for the rights of Georgia’s LGBTQ+ community. If elected, Bentley will be the first Japanese American and first openly nonbinary legislator in Georgia.

This may be the first time you’ve heard of these young leaders. But they are our future, and through their election, they can help us push back against the tides of white supremacy and Christian Nationalist ideology. Our diversity is our strength, and we need more of it. That doesn’t happen by wishful or magical thinking. It takes resources and hard work.

If you’re feeling frustrated and angry, give the middle finger today to the racists and transphobes. Fight back against the ones who are trying to erase whole communities and leave them with no political representation. I hope you’ll join me in supporting Eric and Bentley in their races with a contribution of any size.

Yes! I’m In for Eric and Bentley

Even a small donation would mean so much to our community. We absolutely need to continue to see faces like ours in the halls of power. We can’t, and we won’t, go back.

Thank you for considering a donation today. I promise you’ll feel really good for having done a small part in pushing back against the new Jim Crow and standing up for diversity in representation.

Jay

Boondoggles, Bourbon and Ballrooms [The Status Kuo]

Image courtesy of Spectrum News

Events this week captured the essential character of the Trump regime: extravagant self-interest, contempt for accountability and a stunning indifference to how any of it lands with ordinary citizens.

Four stories stood out, not just because they’re objectively embarrassing, but because they carry real political consequences heading into the midterms.

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“Not even a little bit”

Tuesday morning, before boarding a plane to the Beijing summit with his new best friend Xi Jinping, Donald Trump took questions on the White House lawn about the Iran war. It’s now in its eleventh week, and it’s costing ordinary Americans at the pump.

A reporter asked how much Americans’ financial situation was motivating him to make a deal with Iran. His answer was blunt to the point of brutality: “Not even a little bit. I don’t think about Americans’ financial situation. I don’t think about anybody. I think about one thing: we cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon. That’s all.”

ABC’s Karen Travers pressed him on this stunning response, typical of an increasingly unfiltered Trump. He doubled down and added, for good measure, that when the war ends, “oil is gonna drop, the stock market’s gonna go through the roof.”

This is the same man who floated a gas tax holiday the day before as a gesture toward the very economic pain he now says he doesn’t think about.

The political damage was immediate. Trump’s usual escape hatch—dismissing a bad gaffe as a joke—was unavailable. It was on tape and delivered with emphatic intent.

A PBS/NPR/Marist poll last week found 63 percent of Americans already blame Trump for high gas prices. Now he’s handed Democrats an ad clip for the ages, which they’re sure to use in the upcoming midterms.

Road Rules Redux

Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy—former MTV The Real World cast member and current top regulator of America’s airline and automotive industries—just spent seven months crisscrossing the country with his wife, Fox and Friends co-host Rachel Campos-Duffy, and their nine children. He was filming a five-part YouTube docuseries called “The Great American Road Trip.” Duffy described it “wholesome,” “patriotic” and a “civic experience,” while Fox News put its best gloss on the boondoggle.

We’re all old enough to remember the right-wing media machine blasting former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg for taking paternity leave to be with his premature infant twins.

The hypocrisy wasn’t the worst of it. There’s also the headspinning corporate sponsorship. The trip was funded by Toyota, United Airlines, Boeing and Shell—all regulated by Duffy’s own department. The nonprofit behind the production is run by a former lobbyist for the US Travel Association who previously worked in government relations at General Motors. Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington filed a complaint with the DOT Inspector General this week, alleging the arrangement may have violated federal gift and travel rules, which bar executive branch officers from accepting anything of value from entities their agency oversees.

Then there’s the tone deaf timing. While Duffy filmed his family filling up their car’s gas tank on the public dime, TSA agents went without paychecks. United Airlines, one of the sponsors, has since raised checked baggage fees and warned of a 20 percent spike in summer fares. Duffy dismissed his critics as “the radical, miserable left.” But really, it’s everyone who isn’t in the MAGA cult.

Patel crashes out on the Hill

I’ve covered Kash Patel’s bourbon saga in a previous piece, so I’ll spare you the rerun. What happened Tuesday at the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee was icing on a rum cake.

Patel had ostensibly come to Capitol Hill to defend the FBI’s $12 billion budget request. What he delivered instead was a two-and-a-half-hour demonstration of why he shouldn’t be running the bureau, or any organization.

Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) pressed him on The Atlantic’s reporting about his drinking—reporting that described him as “conspicuously inebriated” with “unexplained absences.” Patel called it “unequivocally, categorically false” and launched a counterattack. He yelled that “the only person that was slinging margaritas in El Salvador on the taxpayer dollar with a convicted gangbanging rapist was you”—a reference to Van Hollen’s April 2025 trip to perform a safety check on Kilmar Abrego Garcia, the man DHS had illegally deported to a brutal Salvadoran mega-prison.

Let’s set the record straight. Nearly every word of Patel’s claim is false. Abrego Garcia has not been convicted of any crime or proven to be a gang member. He is not a convicted rapist. He is currently under home confinement while fighting dubious “human smuggling” charges to which he has pleaded not guilty. The “margaritas” in the famous photo were placed on the table by Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele’s staff as a propaganda prop. Van Hollen said at the time that neither of them touched the drinks, with the salt rim visibly undisturbed. Patel then posted what he claimed was a $7,128 bar tab run up by Van Hollen on the taxpayer’s dime—which turned out to be a catering bill for a staff holiday party.

This wasn’t a heat of the moment punch. It was planned. CNN noted that Patel repeated the same false claim later in his testimony, saying Van Hollen had been “drinking margaritas with felons.”

When Van Hollen asked him directly whether he knew lying to Congress was a crime, Patel replied: “I do not lie to Congress.” That, ironically, is itself a lie.

Patel also brandished a large black placard of FBI statistics at the hearing, claiming the bureau had nearly doubled its arrests under his tenure. MS NOW published reporting, however, from a half-dozen law enforcement sources explaining why those numbers are cooked. Under Patel’s direction, FBI field offices were instructed to count as “FBI arrests” any suspects detained when agents were simply present or assisting, even when another agency led the investigation and made the actual arrest. That double-counting inflated numbers dramatically during ICE surge operations in cities like Minneapolis. “Kash is definitely engineering things to pad his stats,” a former FBI official said flatly. An MS NOW review also found that Patel’s celebrated Ten Most Wanted capture numbers were juiced by placing fugitives on the list hours or even minutes before their arrest.

Meanwhile, the FBI has lost 2,800 agents under Patel’s tenure and is struggling to recruit replacements. He fired agents with Iranian expertise just as the U.S. entered a war with Iran. He is polygraphing his own staff over a missing bourbon bottle. He is in the middle of a $250 million defamation suit against the journalist and the outlet covering all of it.

Van Hollen’s verdict afterwards was measured but spot on: “He’s a disgrace to the office he holds.”

Dancing around Trump’s ballroom

Then there’s the ballroom. We know the basic facts: Trump has torn down the East Wing and is replacing it with a 90,000-square-foot gilded event space. The cost has ballooned, the design is gaudy and the scale is grossly mismatched.

But it’s the symbolism, at a moment when families are canceling vacations and rationing groceries, that is becoming Trump-sized liability for the GOP.

CNN called the ballroom “a political albatross for the GOP” that has been hanging around the party’s neck for six months. In a normal midterm year, with a president whose approval has sunk into the mid-30s, you’d see lawmakers scrambling to create distance. Instead, Republicans this week did the opposite: they embraced it.

Congress is now being asked to authorize up to $1 billion for ballroom construction and security as part of a broader immigration enforcement bill. This follows Trump’s convenient reframing of the project as a security necessity following a shooting at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner.

But GOP strategists are worried. Brian Darling urged Republicans to “pump the brakes,” telling The Hill, “The fact that it’s linked to the ballroom makes it controversial.” He added, “If you’re spending all this money to fortify the White House, nobody bats an eye. If it’s a billion-dollar ballroom, that creates huge problems.”

Some Republicans are trying to waltz around the issue, arguing they’re voting for security upgrades, not Trump’s decorating choices. But ever-concerned Sen. Susan Collins of Maine said she’s not sold, wanting to hear the case for why the funding is “necessary.” Rep. Rob Wittman of Virginia said he’d look at it “very carefully.”

The rebranding to “security” faces a practical problem: the ballroom is already in the bill, and Democrats have already written the ad. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer was succinct: “Ballroom Republicans are fighting for Trump. Democrats are fighting for you.”

The political trap is now clear. Republicans who vote yes on the funding will hand Democrats a perfect symbol of misplaced priorities. Republicans who vote no face Trump’s wrath—and he has already demonstrated this cycle that he will come after members of his own party who cross him, including the Indiana state senators he successfully targeted for rejecting his redistricting maps.

More than a dozen GOP strategists and lawmakers told MS NOW they remain cautiously optimistic about the midterms, but only if the Iran war ends soon and its economic aftershocks fade quickly. Good luck with either. As put by one House Republican in a swing district, who apparently declined to give their name, Trump’s habit of naming things after himself and picking fights with the pope fires up “the people that want to put a check on his power, instead of taking his energy and focusing on stuff that makes their lives better at home.”

09:00 AM

Congress Narrowed The GUARD Act, But Serious Problems Remain [Techdirt]

Following criticism, lawmakers have narrowed the GUARD Act, a bill aimed at restricting minors’ access to certain AI systems. The earlier version could have applied broadly to nearly every AI-powered chatbot or search tool. The amended bill focuses more narrowly on so-called “AI companions”—conversational systems designed to simulate emotional or interpersonal interactions with users. 

That change does address some of the broadest concerns raised about the original proposal, though some questions about the bill’s reach remain. Bottom line: the revised bill still creates serious problems for privacy, online speech, and parental choice.

The new GUARD Act still requires companies offering AI companions to implement burdensome age-verification systems tied to users’ real-world identities. Even parents who specifically want their teenagers to use these systems would still face significant hurdles. A family might decide that a conversational AI tool helps an isolated teenager practice social interaction, or engage in harmless creative roleplay. A parent deployed in the military might set up a persistent AI storyteller for a younger child. Under the revised bill, those users could still face mandatory age checks tied to sensitive personal or financial information before they or their children can use these services.

The revised bill also leaves important definitions unclear while sharply increasing penalties for developers and companies that get those judgments wrong. Congress narrowed the GUARD Act. But it is still trying to solve a complicated social problem with vague legal standards, heavy liability, and privacy-invasive verification systems.

Intrusive Age-Verification Remains In The Bill

The revised GUARD Act still requires companies offering AI companions to verify that users are adults through a “reasonable age verification” system. The bill allows a broader set of verification methods than the earlier version, but they are still tied to a user’s real-world identity—such as financial records, or age-verified accounts for a mobile operating system or app store. 

That approach still raises serious privacy and access concerns. Millions of Americans do not have current government ID, accounts at major banks, or stable access to the kinds of digital identity systems the bill contemplates. Even for those who do, requiring identity-linked verification to access online speech tools creates real risks for privacy, anonymity, and data security. Many people are rightly creeped out by age-verification systems, and may simply forgo using these services rather than compromise their privacy and security.

The revised definition of “AI companion” is also narrower than before, but it’s unclear at the margins. The bill now focuses on systems that “engage in interactions involving emotional disclosures” from the user, or present a “persistent identity, persona or character.” 

EFF appreciates that the authors recognized that the prior definition could reach a variety of AI systems that are not chatbots, including internet search engines. But the narrowed definition could be read to also apply to a variety of chat tools that are not AI companions. For example, many modern online conversational systems increasingly recognize and respond to users’ emotions. Customer service systems, including completely human-powered ones that existed long before AI chatbots, have long been designed to recognize frustration and respond empathetically. As conversational AI becomes more emotionally responsive, a customer service chatbot’s efforts to empathize may sweep it within the bill’s definition. 

Bigger Penalties, Bigger Incentives To Restrict Access

The revised bill also sharply increases penalties. Instead of $100,000 per violation, companies—including small developers—can face fines of up to $250,000 per violation, enforced by both federal and state officials.

That kind of liability creates incentives to over-restrict access, especially for minors. Smaller developers, in particular, may decide it is safer to block younger users entirely, disable conversational features, or avoid developing certain tools at all, rather than risk severe penalties under vague standards.

The concerns driving this bill are real. Some AI systems have engaged in troubling interactions with vulnerable users, including minors. But the right answer to that is targeted enforcement against bad actors, and privacy laws that protect us all. The revised GUARD Act instead responds with a privacy-invasive system that burdens the right to speak, read, and interact online.

Congress did improve this bill, but EFF’s core speech, privacy, and security issues remain.

Reposted from the EFF’s Deeplinks blog.

07:00 AM

OpenAI’s KOSA Endorsement Is Regulatory Capture With A Smiley Face [Techdirt]

Earlier this week, OpenAI became the latest tech company to publicly endorse KOSA, the Kids Online Safety Act. The company, conveniently, tries to frame this as being about its support of child safety. It’s not. It’s about political horse trading, desperation for good publicity, and building a regulatory moat.

KOSA would help create stronger online protections for young social media users through safer default settings, expanded parental controls, and greater accountability for online harms.

The path forward on kids safety, however, also requires AI-specific rules. And we believe KOSA is complementary to the work we’re doing at the federal and state level. Young people should be able to benefit from AI in ways that are safe, age-appropriate, and grounded in real-world support, including referrals to crisis resources and parental notifications in serious safety situations. That means building safeguards from the start, giving families better tools, and taking responsibility for reducing risks before they become harms.

The broader point is an important one: AI companies still have the opportunity to build protections early, before these technologies become fully embedded in everyday life. As OpenAI Chief Global Affairs Officer Chris Lehane has put it, “We can’t repeat the mistakes made during the rise of social media, when stronger safeguards for teens weren’t put in place until the platforms were already deeply embedded in young people’s lives.”

All of this is, of course, nonsense. As we’ve explained repeatedly, the underlying mechanisms of KOSA are deeply problematic and will do real damage. It will, inherently, make the internet worse for everyone. At its heart, KOSA is a surveillance and censorship bill, and it’s the last thing that we need for the internet today.

While it’s positioned as being about something no one can be against (“kid safety!”), that is all too often the facade with which terrible rights-killing laws are passed. And KOSA is no exception.

But a bunch of tech companies have endorsed it anyway. Why? Because they know it makes life way more difficult for smaller upstart competitors. The additional compliance costs it will add for companies will be ruinous to smaller, less well-resourced companies. For big companies with big bank accounts, however, it gives them a leg up.

OpenAI, perhaps more than most others in the space, needs that kind of government-backed protection against growing competition.

Almost exactly three years ago, I wrote a piece about Sam Altman going to Congress and asking for the federal government to regulate the AI space, calling it Sam Altman Wants The Government To Build Him A Moat. As I pointed out at the time, AI researchers were coming to the conclusion that there was little to no real competitive advantage that any frontier AI model could really have for any extended period of time. That situation has only gotten worse since then. The jockeying between the various leading AI models has meant that they’re all effectively comparable, and more and more builders are realizing that since you can separate out the context, the computer, and the agentic tools from the underlying LLM, that technology is quickly turning into a commodity where any one will do (and this situation is becoming even more tenuous as open weight/local models are getting better and better).

While OpenAI has a huge number of users (one of the fastest growing tech companies in history), it’s unclear if those users are particularly loyal. Indeed, there are a few indications that when OpenAI does something stupid, a large segment of users will quickly leave.

Given that, all of the large AI companies keep looking for ways to create some sort of lock-in for users. Most of them haven’t gone down the fully siloed path (knowing at this stage that would probably drive away their most valuable users). For the most part, the focus between the likes of OpenAI, Anthropic, Google and others is to build in more features to make it more convenient to stay than to swap out an underlying LLM. That and the continued leapfrogging, combined with various experiments regarding how much they’re willing to subsidize with their subscription plans.

But having the government wipe out competitors, or create “mandatory” tools that create lock-in, might be another path towards such a result. And that’s exactly what KOSA would lead to. It certainly wouldn’t protect kids. Indeed, all evidence suggests it would put plenty of marginalized kids at much greater risk.

However, it would create something of a regulatory moat for those larger companies.

On top of that, is there any company more desperate for a headline talking about how it’s “helping” protect children than OpenAI? The company has been accused of being “responsible” for suicide and other harmful behavior. And, even if those claims and lawsuits are misleading (they are!), culturally that message has been sticking. I’ve heard multiple people refer to ChatGPT as a suicide machine.

So, if you need a good headline to claim that you’re “protecting children” and doing so in a way where the law will have little direct impact on your business, but will damage some of your competitors in the space (not to mention the wider open internet), why not? It’s hard not to be cynical about OpenAI’s reasoning here.

Separately, it’s likely that the AI companies see this as a bit of political horse trading. While KOSA would have some impact on AI tools, it’s much more directed at social media platforms than AI. And it’s likely that the bet being made by OpenAI here is “hey, we’ll back KOSA for you, and you get rid of the AI-specific bills.” OpenAI’s Chris Lehane, who announced the endorsement and is featured in every press release about it, is infamous as a political trickster. He’s a political operator, not a tech or policy expert. You roll him out to cut a deal, not to advance a principled position on child safety. And that’s exactly what’s happening here.

You can see the KOSA authors gleefully using the OpenAI endorsement to falsely claim that only Mark Zuckerberg now opposes the law:

Yeah, that’s Senator Richard Blumenthal choosing to spend time on X, a site run by a guy who has made it clear he thinks Blumenthal’s political party is evil and needs to be wiped out, using that platform to lie and claim that the only people opposed to KOSA are “Mark Zuckerberg & his lobbyists.” That ignores the long list of civil society and public interest groups who have made it clear just how dangerous the law would be.

Marsha Blackburn (who has been vocal about how she wants KOSA to silence LGBTQ voices) put out a silly press release about this endorsement, saying:

“Lip service won’t save lives – Congress must take action to establish guardrails in the virtual space. I look forward to chairing a hearing on why the verdicts in California and New Mexico should spur Congress to hold Big Tech accountable for exploiting children to turn a profit.”

What? As bad as the rulings in California and New Mexico are, they seem to suggest that the courts already think they have the authority to order companies to do the impossible and magically stop anything bad from ever happening to kids who also (incidentally) use the internet.

All of this is for show. No one is being honest. Blackburn wants to censor LGBTQ speech she considers “dangerous to kids” because it terrifies her. Blumenthal wants to end encryption and the ability of tech companies to keep information, because he’s always been a cop and wants the ability to spy on your kids. And OpenAI wants Congress to direct their bad policies at social media companies rather than AI companies.

And all of us internet users are simply collateral damage for the mad power dreams of those in charge.

05:00 AM

eBay To GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen: Um, No [Techdirt]

It might be time to do a wellness check on GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen. We had just discussed Cohen’s announced bid to have GameStop buy eBay as part of an absolutely bizarre interview he did on CNBC’s Squawk Box. In that interview, Cohen attempted to explain how GameStop would buy the much more highly valued company, valued at $56 billion, through $20 billion in stock and another $20 billion in private investment with banking partners. If you’re still staring at those numbers trying to figure out where the typo is, don’t bother, there isn’t one. The typo exists only in Cohen’s head, since those numbers don’t match up to eBay’s valuation. Nobody but Cohen appeared to understand how any of this made any sense.

It appears that eBay’s board felt likewise. eBay has now issued a response to Cohen’s bid, which essentially amounts to, “Um, no.”

CNBC reports that eBay’s board wrote to Ryan Cohen on Tuesday, May 12, to make clear its categorical rejection of the silly man’s ridiculous attempt to buy a company five times larger than his own with borrowed money and bad math. A letter signed by eBay’s chairman of the board of directors, Paul S. Pressler, calls his offer “neither credible nor attractive.”

“We have taken into account such factors as 1) eBay’s standalone prospects, 2) the uncertainty regarding your financial proposal, 3) the impact of your proposal on eBay’s long-term growth and profitability, 4) the leverage, operational risks, and leadership structure of a combined entity, 5) the resulting implications of these factors on valuation, and 6) GameStop’s governance and executive incentives.”

That’s the corporate equivalent of a professional UFC fighter explaining to an 11 year old why they won’t agree to a televised fight. I have no idea what Cohen is doing in any of this, but I can’t possibly believe that this proposed purchase was in any way serious. As we said in the previous post, the math simply doesn’t math in this case.

But in follow up comments from journalists after the CNBC interview, things only get more strange. Imagine having a serious shareholder position in GameStop and coming across this portion of a Cohen interview with Business Insider.

“I did not want to be the CEO of GameStop. I want to be the CEO of eBay,” he said. “I’m passionate about eBay. I believe in eBay’s business. I wasn’t passionate about GameStop. That’s the difference.”

Honestly, it’s hard to understand both what Cohen is actually after here and why the board at GameStop even wants him around anymore. He doesn’t want to be there. The company is not doing well. The headlines about buying eBay are the most tangible thing about the story, with everything else being vapor and criticism.

But what’s abundantly clear is that GameStop will not be buying eBay any time soon, no matter how much Game Informer vault merchandise Cohen manages to sell online.

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03:00 AM

Trump Administration: Anti-Fascists, Drug Dealers, And Trans People Are Terrorists [Techdirt]

As was covered here last week, ProPublica’s Hannah Allam reached out to Trump’s “terrorism czar” Sebastian Gorka to ask him about the wreckage he’s caused since being elevated to a position of power he clearly has no expertise to handle.

Gorka’s no expert in domestic security. While his resume may include occasional work for government agencies here in the US as well as in Hungary, he’s mostly known for being a useful font of propaganda in service of the MAGA worldview.

Allam asked him to comment on the apparent dismantling of the government’s counter-terrorism apparatus as Trump reshuffled pretty much every US law enforcement agency to provide manpower for his anti-migrant surges. No comment was given but Gorka decided to attack Allam personally via social media.

Another question that went unanswered?

As of writing, exactly two months into the Iran war, Gorka’s counterterrorism strategy has yet to appear.

Well, we have an answer now. And it’s just as awful as you expect it to be.

Wednesday’s document, masterminded by White House “counterterrorism czar” Sebastian Gorka, does not mention far-right violence at all. It identifies “Violent Left-Wing Extremists, including Anarchists and Anti-Fascists” as a security threat of equal severity to “Legacy Islamist Terrorists” and “Narcoterrorists and Transnational Gangs.” The administration will now apparently “prioritize the rapid identification and neutralization of violent secular political groups whose ideology is anti-American, radically pro-transgender, and anarchist.”

In a bizarre but familiar turn, the document also blames transgender people for the shooting of Charlie Kirk. “Americans have witnessed the politically motivated killings of Christians and conservatives committed by violent left-wing extremists, including the assassination of Charlie Kirk by a radical who espoused extreme transgender ideologies.”

The full “strategy” [PDF] can be read below. Brace yourself. It’s horrible and horrific. It contains nods towards “God-given rights” while simultaneously making it clear a lot of people aren’t allowed to access these rights. It’s written by people who truly love their own brand of domestic terrorism — MAGA in-crowd fuckwits who, if given the chance, would rather be John Wilkes Booth than Abraham Lincoln.

It’s stupid and hurtful and harmful and shitty. And it boldly makes the assertion that to oppose this administration and its goals is to attack America and Americans themselves, which is the sort of thing we’ve come to expect from this self-absorbed administration and the death cult that supports it.

It contains lie after lie, beginning with its opening paragraphs:

Our counterterrorism operations will be executed apolitically and founded upon reality-based threat assessments. Our counterterrorism powers will not be used to target our fellow Americans who simply disagree with us.

[…]

The fact pattern under the Biden Administration was clear: individuals at the highest level of the U.S. Government used their significant powers to politically target individuals in the interests of those they favored, wanted to keep in power, or to help win elections.

This is coming from an administration that has turned the DOJ in the Department of Vindictive Prosecutions and continues to blame Biden for things that happened while Trump was still serving his first term as president.

The “CT Strategy” has been written to justify extrajudicial murders committed in international waters by the Department of Defense and its administration partners in this latest bastardization of the “war on drugs.” It’s been written to justify any violence/killings going forward that involve US residents and citizens.

The document claims “mass migration” is a threat to the Western World in general. It also claims religious oppression is a latent threat to world peace… but only if it’s African nations targeting “Christians.” It also baldly states that the US is the center of the universe as far as the world is concerned, so any counterterrorism efforts it puts forth will focus on this nation’s well-being first.

In between all the stuff that might look semi-plausible with GOP-tinted glasses, there’s this:

Our nation has not been well served by its Intelligence Community (IC), which has been mired in old ways of looking at threats, or has been actively weaponized by its leadership as a political tool. Whether plotting against conservative Catholics attending traditional mass in Virginia, parents standing up for their children at schoolboard meetings, Members of Congress, or President Trump and his associates, this Administration will continue to prohibit the IC from being used politically against innocent Americans. As real threats were ignored or underplayed, Americans have witnessed the politically motivated killings of Christians and conservatives committed by violent left-wing extremists, including the assassination of Charlie Kirk by a radical who espoused extreme transgender ideologies.

In addition to cartels and Islamist terror groups, our national CT activities will also prioritize the rapid identification and neutralization of violent secular political groups whose ideology is anti American, radically pro-transgender, and anarchist. We will use all the tools constitutionally available to us to map them at home, identify their membership, map their ties to international organizations like Antifa, and use law enforcement tools to cripple them operationally before they can maim or kill the innocent. We will do the same with the state sponsors of such groups and those governments undertaking lethal plots on U.S. soil or against Americans anywhere.

No other administration would say these things out loud, much less deliver them to the public as a policy statement. This administration simply does not care how this looks to normal Americans. It has no qualms delivering a counterterrorism strategy that sees no difference between international terrorist groups, drug cartels, and people who just want to see transgender people’s rights respected. And, after turning a bunch of people with ideological disagreements into terrorists, it moves on to pretend “Antifa” is an violent, organized, multi-national terrorist organization rather than just the loose collection of people opposed to fascism that it has always been and continues to be.

The biggest threat to this nation is the party running it. And allowing Seb Gorka to oversee this vile interpretation of “existential threats” is worse than simply allowing the foxes to guard the hen house. This is a document that makes it clear the hens brought this violence on themselves by daring to exist in places they’re not wanted.

Real-Debrid’s Renewed Piracy Crackdown Follows Corporate Restructuring (Updated) [TorrentFreak]

real debridReal-Debrid is a French-operated premium link generator that can download files from cyberlockers and cache torrents for instant streaming.

The service has long been a key tool for many Stremio and Kodi, and is also widely used as unlimited cloud storage by Plex, Jellyfin, and Emby users who pair it with Sonarr and Radarr.

At the end of 2024, the service made headlines by implementing far-reaching anti-piracy measures, including hash and keyword filters. These changes were made to appease rightsholders following a formal notice from the Fédération Nationale des Éditeurs de Films (FNEF), the French film distributors’ trade body. Despite user backlash, Real-Debrid retained much of its user base.

A few days ago, complaints about Real-Debrid’s filtering started rearing their head again. Now it appears to be worse. Cached torrents that previously played without problems now return an error message: “File was removed from debrid service due to copyright infringement.”

Stremio error

stremio error

Real-Debrid has taken action, whether voluntarily or not, but the operators have not commented publicly and did not immediately respond to our request for comment either. The company’s most recent public communication, on its official X account, is close to six months old.

Update: Real-Debrid responded to our questions and confirmed that it is filtering content, referring to its obligations under EU law. The corporate restructuring is not related, it says. More details below.

A New and Broader Piracy Filter

According to user reports circulating on Reddit and elsewhere, the new filter does not target specific torrent hashes, as the 2024 measures did. Instead, it appears to screen against filename patterns common to almost all scene and P2P releases.

ElfHosted, a managed hosting provider that offers Stremio and Plex stacks, among others, has published a documented list of names that it linked to the new Real-Debrid filter. The list includes names of release groups such as [rartv], [rarbg], and [eztv], as well as source markers including WEB-DL, WEBDL, WEB-Rip, WEBRip and AMZN.

This suggests that the removals are based on characteristics that are not directly triggered by the content itself, but by the filename. This means that files without ‘forbidden’ keywords or tags should survive, for now.

That theory is confirmed by a r/Piracy user who notes “only 4k or 4k HDR kind of streams have been removed and not 1080p ones” for the same shows. This does not mean that lower-quality releases are safe by definition; it all depends on whether the keyword filter is triggered.

“Most Users Lost 50-70% of Their Libraries”

ElfHosted built a tool called LitterBox that checks a user’s Real-Debrid library and counts how many cached torrents now return the infringement error. The company’s founder commented on Reddit that “most users have lost 50-70% of their libraries.”

Litterbox

litterbox

ElfHosted has a commercial interest in the matter, as it points users to the bundles it sells for a Real-Debrid competitor. However, it is also the only named third-party source publishing technical details.

Exactly how bad users are impacted appears to differ per setup. Stremio users don’t appear to be hit as hard as those using Plex, Jellyfin, or Emby with Sonarr and Radarr. The latter try to load cached files, which has been removed.

Real-Debrid’s Corporate Restructuring

While the user impact is serious and undeniable, it is not immediately clear why Real-Debrid took this action. There is a largely unconfirmed and unverified report on an anonymous Netlify subdomain that appears to offer a timeline and context. While we can’t confirm most of it, the mention of a corporate restructuring is correct.

Information obtained by TorrentFreak from the Institut National de la Propriété Industrielle (INPI), which maintains the French company registry, shows that Real-Debrid’s parent company, XT Network, underwent some legal changes recently.

On April 27, the registered office had already moved from Levallois-Perret to Montreuil. Ten days later, on May 7, the company was converted from a société à responsabilité limitée (SARL) to a société par actions simplifiée (SAS).

XT NETWORK

xt

The two founders no longer appear as managers of the new company. Their roles are now held by holding companies: HOWLOO, a single-shareholder SARL based in Saint-Avertin, and DEVIUS, a single-shareholder SARL based in Saint-Herblain.

These types of restructuring operations can be done to change the liability of the persons and entities involved. What the reason is in this case is unknown, but it happened mere days before the renewed piracy crackdown.

The legal page on Real-Debrid’s website confirms the change and now identifies the owner as “XT Network SAS, Société par Actions Simplifiée au capital de 7000€, 86 Rue Voltaire, 93100 Montreuil,” where it previously listed XT Network SARL as the owner.

What’s Next

There has been no shortage of speculation or user complaints. Initially, the Real-Debrid subreddit ran a megathread covering the situation, but this has since been removed, and the posts now require approval from a moderator.

The discussion continues elsewhere, but real answers can only come from XT Network. If those come in, we will update the article accordingly.

For now, however, it appears that Real-Debrid is starting to toughen its stance against piracy even further. Last time, its actions only resulted in a relatively mild drop in traffic, but if the current situation continues, that will be much worse this time around.

Update: Real-Debrid’s parent company, XT Network, responded shortly after we published this article. The company explained that the current situation is unrelated to the corporate restructuring. At the same time, it confirms that it indeed uses filters to block content.

The company positions Real-Debrid as a technical intermediary operating within the framework of the Digital Services Act (DSA) and French law (LCEN).

It cites a Paris Court of Appeal ruling of March 19, 2026, supporting its view that Article 8 of the DSA prohibits any general monitoring obligation on technical intermediaries.

The filtering actions it has taken are a response to keyword lists provided by trusted flaggers, which is in accordance with Article 16 of the Digital Services Act (DSA).

In other words, the company says that it implemented a keyword filter in compliance with its legal obligations. XT Network says that Real-Debrid users are welcome to report errors, if they see any.

(This update has been amended)

A copy of the INPI attestation for XT Network, dated May 14, 2026, is available here (pdf).

From: TF, for the latest news on copyright battles, piracy and more.

12:00 AM

‘Christian’ Wireless Provider Promises To Censor All LGBTQ Content [Techdirt]

A new “Christian” mobile phone provider named Radiant Mobile is promising to offer a wireless service that censors all LGBTQ+ content. The MVNO (mobile virtual network operator), which runs on the T-Mobile network, says it’s keen to deliver “faith-focused mobile service,” according to the company’s website.

According to NIT Technology Review, the MVNO is working alongside Israeli cybersecurity firm Allot to impose a network-level blockade of not just all pornography on the internet, but all LGBTQ+ content as well:

“We are going to create—and we think we have every right to do so—an environment that is Jesus-centric, that is void of pornography, void of LGBT, void of trans, Radiant Mobile’s founder, Paul Fisher, told MIT Technology Review.”

“Void of trans,” indeed. Good luck with all that. Porn filter systems, no matter whether device or network centric, are notoriously fickle and routinely make all manner of filtering mistakes that wind up blocking all manner of additional content. They’re also historically easy to bypass, depending on how they’re designed.

The article makes it clear that Fisher’s primary target is porn, and it sounds like censoring gay and trans related content isn’t something that’s been particularly well thought out. They’ll figure out in practice that trying to “sanitize” the internet on the network level to somehow conform to narrow worldviews isn’t technically possible, no matter what promises Allot is making to Reliant to justify their price tag:

“The technology to do this blocking is a blunt instrument: Allot groups website domains into more than a hundred categories, which include pornography but also violence, malware, gaming, and in Radiant Mobile’s case “sects,” which includes websites about Satanism. If one of its users tries to visit a website that belongs to a blocked category, the page won’t load.”

Yes, this would technically violate FCC net neutrality rules if the corrupt U.S. courts hadn’t dismantled them, but even if the rules still existed they wouldn’t have been enforced by the Trump FCC anyway. And yes, this raises all sorts of First Amendment and privacy legal questions, which is probably why T-Mobile tried to distance itself from things when contacted by MIT Technology Review:

“A representative for T-Mobile did not comment on whether these content blocks violate any of its policies. In a statement, the representative added that T-Mobile does not have a direct relationship with Radiant Mobile but instead works through the MVNO manager CompaxDigital.”

Fisher, who is apparently pivoting from a career as a supermodel agent to sell this heavily censored version of the internet to purportedly moral religious folks, is trying to strike brand partnerships with evangelical churches. Fisher’s backed by $17.5 million in investment from Compax Ventures and Roger Bringmann, a vice president at Nvidia.

There’s been a flood of these lazy MVNOs that pander to Trump zealots and operate on the T-Mobile network, not least of which is the Trump Organization’s Trump Mobile, which promised customers an expensive new Trump reskinned phone “made in America” that was being made in China and it never actually delivered (despite a lot of down payments). So: It’s all quite on brand.

Thursday 2026-05-14

10:00 PM

Cats & Dogs [Seth Godin's Blog on marketing, tribes and respect]

A dog gets fed and thinks his person is an omniscient, benevolent being.

A cat gets fed and thinks it is.

How we see ourselves in this analogy is actually up to each of us, every day. It also tells us a bit about how we think about customers, vendors, and partners.

      

Pluralistic: Kickstarting "The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI" (14 May 2026) [Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow]

->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->-> Top Sources: None -->

Today's links



A mockup of a smartphone displaying an audiobook app that's playing 'The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI'. Next to it appears this text: 'This book - ostensibly about AI, but more broadly about the new world of hyper-capitalism and high tech - is stunning in its clarity and breadth of vision. In trying to keep some kind of grasp on what is going on in the world, I read Doctorow obsessively. —Brian Eno'

Kickstarting "The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI" (permalink)

My next book, The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI, will be out in about a month – and (once again) Amazon's monopoly audiobook platform refuses to carry it, and so (once again) I'm pre-selling the audio, ebook and print edition in a Kickstarter campaign that proves that DRM-free isn't just the right way to reach an audience, it's also the best way to reach them:

https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/doctorow/the-reverse-centaurs-guide-to-life-after-ai

A mockup of a smartphone displaying an audiobook app that's playing 'The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI'. Next to it appears this text: 'An eye-opening take on AI . . . A sharply worded, irreverent, and deadly serious call to see through the sleight-of-hand performance of AI promoters. —Kirkus Reviews'

Reverse Centaur is a book about the realpolitik and the political economy of AI, written by a tech critic (me!) who is sick to the back teeth of hearing about AI. Central to the book's thesis:

  • The AI bubble is exceptionally bad and dangerous:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/05/07/dump-the-pumpers/#alpo-eaters-anonymous

A mockup of a smartphone displaying an audiobook app that's playing 'The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI'. Next to it appears this text: 'A bracing, daringly optimistic plan for how we can free ourselves from the awfulness. —John Hodgman (on Enshittification)'

  • The AI bubble is part of a lineage of pump-and-dump swindles created by monopolists who are desperate to convince investors that they can continue to grow even after they've saturated their markets:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/03/06/privacy-last/#exceptionally-american

  • In service to that stock swindle, AI companies have cooked up all kinds of ways to "juke the stats" to paint a false picture of AI adoption:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/05/02/kpis-off/#principal-agentic-ai-problem

A mockup of a smartphone displaying an audiobook app that's playing 'The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI'. Next to it appears this text: 'A masterly polemic, its scope so sweeping that it does, finally, seem to explain every pungent odor wafting from Silicon Valley. —Harper՚s (on Enshittification)'

  • AI is a normal technology, and in the absence of the bubble, we'd call this collection of technically interesting, sometimes useful tools "plug-ins":

https://pluralistic.net/2026/02/19/now-we-are-six/#stock-buyback

  • A chatbot can't do your job, but an AI salesman can absolutely convince your boss to fire you and replace you with a chatbot that can't do your job:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/03/18/asbestos-in-the-walls/#government-by-spicy-autocomplete

  • Despite the fact that the AI can't do your job, there are many ways that AI can be used to erode your wages and working conditions:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/04/06/empiricism-washing/#veena-dubal

  • The workers who say that their jobs are worse and the things they produce are much worse as a result of AI are correct; but the workers who say their work is much better thanks to AI are also correct. This only seems like a riddle until you understand that the most important fact about any technology (including AI) isn't what it does, but who it does it for and who it does it to:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/09/11/vulgar-thatcherism/#there-is-an-alternative

A mockup of a smartphone displaying an audiobook app that's playing 'The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI'. Next to it appears this text: 'You could not ask for a clearer, more ambitious or better-written business book than this one . . . Doctorow deserves thanks for his service. —The Financial Times (on Enshittification)'

  • When a boss fires a worker and gives their jobs to an AI, it usually means that they don't care if that job is done well, which is why customer service jobs are being handed over to AI:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/08/06/unmerchantable-substitute-goods/#customer-disservice

  • Bosses also love firing coders and replacing them with AI – first, because bosses are really angry about the decades when tech workers were in short supply and bosses had to pretend to like them, and second, because if you're selling AI as a way to replace workers, what better way to convince a potential customer than to fire the workers your own company depends upon? (All that said, the coders who are excited about their new AI coding tools have a point – when a worker is in charge of their work and thus when and how they use a tool, we should defer to their own experience):

https://pluralistic.net/2025/08/05/ex-princes-of-labor/#hyper-criti-hype

  • Artists are also a favorite target of AI bosses, which is weird, because the wages of creative workers add up to a total that rounds to zero when compared with the unimaginably large sums AI companies will have to take in if they are to pay back the trillions they've spent to date (let alone the trillions more they're proposing to spend in the near term). All of this raises a foundational question: can AI "art" ever be good? (Spoiler: probably not):

https://pluralistic.net/2025/03/25/communicative-intent/#diluted

  • Media companies say they have the answer to the AI art question: they'll create (or assert) a copyright that lets them control AI training. This is an incredibly transparent ruse: media companies are artists' class enemies, and if we get a new right to control AI training, our bosses will demand that we sign it away to them as part of their non-negotiable, one-sided standard contracts:

https://pluralistic.net/2024/11/18/rights-without-power/#careful-what-you-wish-for

A mockup of a smartphone displaying an audiobook app that's playing 'The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI'. Next to it appears this text: 'Essential to understanding today’s digital economy. —Rohit Chopra, Former head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (on Enshittification)'

  • For creative workers, the answer to these new would-be tech bosses isn't asserting a new right that will be expropriated by the old media bosses who've been ripping us off forever. Our salvation lies in leaning into the US Copyright Office's interpretation that holds that AI-generated works can't be copyrighted, because copyright is only for human creations. That means that the only way our bosses can get a copyright over the things they want to sell is to pay us to make them:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/03/03/its-a-trap-2/#inheres-at-the-moment-of-fixation

  • Many of the seemingly urgent AI questions that people won't shut up about are distractions, because they assume that AI will lastingly infiltrate every part of our society. In reality, the AI companies are losing unimaginable amounts and have no path to profitability:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/06/30/accounting-gaffs/#artificial-income

  • The only jobs that AI can do better than humans are jobs that shouldn't exist, like figuring out how to maximize undetectable wage-theft:

https://pluralistic.net/2024/12/18/loose-flapping-ends/#luigi-has-a-point

  • AI is also really good at figuring out how to do individualized price-gouging, another thing that shouldn't exist:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/01/21/cod-marxism/#wannamaker-slain

  • Despite AI's manifest unsuitability to do jobs that should exist, bosses keep firing people and replacing them with chatbots that do their jobs very badly. This allows bosses to indulge their solipsistic fantasy of a world without people, in which customers, workers and suppliers are statistical artifacts and bosses are unitary geniuses who simply imagine a product or service and then it is delivered, without any ego-shattering confrontations with people who know how to do things:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/01/05/fisher-price-steering-wheel/#billionaire-solipsism

  • This is catastrophic, and not just for the parties involved today. The AI bubble will pop, and when it does, the chatbots that do these jobs (badly) will be switched off. Meanwhile, the workers those chatbots replaced will have retrained, retired, or become "discouraged." No one will be around to do those (necessary) jobs. AI is the asbestos we are shoveling into the walls of our civilization and our descendants will be digging it out for generations:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/09/27/econopocalypse/#subprime-intelligence

  • The real existential AI threat isn't that we'll accidentally teach the word-guessing program so many words that it awakens and becomes a vengeful god. The real risk is that when the bubble bursts we'll indulge the ruling class's reflex to austerity, and that this will continue the decades of mass economic traumatization that makes people into easy marks for fascists:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/04/12/always-great/#our-nhs

  • But when the AI bubble pops, that won't be the end of AI – it will be the end of the bubble. When the AI bubble pops, we'll have mountains of GPUs at fire-sale prices, skilled workers liberated from the imperative to help their bosses promote their stock swindle, and open source models that will yield tremendous dividends to anyone who sets out to optimize them:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/10/16/post-ai-ai/#productive-residue

As you can see from the links above, I developed The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI in the same way that I developed Enshittification: in public, through a series of essays, which I periodically synthesized into major, widely shared speeches:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/12/05/pop-that-bubble/#u-washington

Making my working notes public is a hugely effective way of producing and refining critical work, and it's been my method for 25 years now:

https://pluralistic.net/2021/05/09/the-memex-method/

It's a method that's let me produce a string of international bestsellers, published by some of the largest publishers in the world. Nevertheless, Amazon refuses to carry my audiobooks:

https://pluralistic.net/2022/07/25/can-you-hear-me-now/#acx-ripoff

That's because I have an iron-clad requirement that my work be sold in open formats, without the "digital rights management" that blocks you from moving the books you bought on Amazon to someone else's apps. Digital rights management (DRM) enjoys bizarre legal protections so that it's a felony for me to give you the tools you need to move the books I wrote out of an Amazon app and into a competitor's app:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/01/14/sole-and-despotic/#world-turned-upside-down

What's more, these outrageous legal rights extend around the world, because the US Trade Representative spent decades bullying America's trading partners into passing laws that criminalize the act of fixing the defects in America's tech exports, which is why farmers can't fix their John Deere tractors, hospitals can't fix their Medtronic ventilators, and no one can sell you an app that stops Apple and Google from spying on your phone:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/01/01/39c3/#the-new-coalition

Amazon's Audible controls 90% (!) of the audiobook market, and they will not sell any book unless they can permanently lock it to their platform. That means that every time a writer sells you an audiobook on Audible, they create a "switching cost" that stops you from leaving Audible for a competitor. Not only is this fundamentally unjust, it's also terrible for creators: if our audiences can't leave Amazon, then we can't leave Amazon either, which means Amazon can (and does!) steal millions of dollars from writers without losing our business:

https://pluralistic.net/2022/09/07/audible-exclusive/#audiblegate

Which is where these Kickstarter campaigns come in. Whenever I sell a new book to a publisher, I arrange to make my own independent audiobook for it, which I sell everywhere except the platforms that have mandatory DRM: Audible, Apple and Audiobooks.com. There are some very good DRM-free audiobook stores, notably Libro.fm and Downpour.com (Google Play also sells audiobooks without DRM). But most people have never heard of these, so it wasn't until I started pre-selling my audiobooks on Kickstarter that I was able to make my stubborn refusal to sell out to Audible into a paying proposition. My agent tells me that if I'd sold out to Audible, I'd have paid off my mortgage and I'd be able to give my kid a full ride through a fancy US college. I don't make that kind of money from these Kickstarters, but they do very well nevertheless, and they're a critical part of my family's finances.

The Kickstarter is live for the next three weeks:

https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/doctorow/the-reverse-centaurs-guide-to-life-after-ai

A mockup of 'The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI' and 'Enshittification' on e-readers, and smartphones displaying audiobook apps, as well as the paperback edition of 'Reverse Centaur.'

You can pre-order print copies of Reverse Centaur, as well as DRM-free ebooks and audiobooks (narrated by me!) for Reverse Centaur and Enshittification. Normally, I offer custom-signed copies of the print books, but Enshittification was so successful that I haven't stopped touring it and I'm in a new city every couple of days, so there's no way I can reliably get into a warehouse to sign the latest batch of orders. Instead, I'll be posting the contact details for every bookstore that's hosting me on my tours (US in June, UK in September) and you can order signed copies from them, which I'll personalize after my events there so they can ship them to you.

I've also decided to raise money for the Electronic Frontier Foundation (eff.org), the nonprofit I've worked at for nearly 25 years. EFF is the oldest, best and most effective tech rights organization in the world, and its mission has only gotten more important over the years. EFF's outreach folks are offering a special membership package for backers of the Kickstarter, which includes an EFF hat and stickers, as well as an Enshittification pin and two Enshittification stickers:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/04/24/poop-emoji-plus-plus/#devin-washburn

The audiobook is fully recorded and finalized and you can listen to the first hour of it here:

https://archive.org/details/reverse-centaur-audio-sample

It came out great (as always!), thanks to the terrific direction of Gabrielle De Cuir of Skyboat Media and editing from Wryneck Studios' John Taylor Williams. Gabrielle's directed all my audiobooks since 2017, and John's been mastering my podcasts since 2006 (!!), so we constitute a very well-oiled machine.

Working out my ideas in public allows me to produce my Pluralistic newsletter, and with it, a large volume of free, high-quality work that's licensed under a generous Creative Commons license that lets anyone reproduce, translate, redistribute and even sell my articles. If you've enjoyed that work, I hope you'll consider backing the campaign! Selling books is how I pay the bills and keep the lights on, and as ever, this is the only way you can get a major publisher's ebooks and audiobooks with no DRM and no "terms of service." These are truly ebooks and audiobooks that you own. You can sell them, give them away, or lend them out – so long as you don't violate copyright law, we're all cool:

https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/doctorow/the-reverse-centaurs-guide-to-life-after-ai


Hey look at this (permalink)



A shelf of leatherbound history books with a gilt-stamped series title, 'The World's Famous Events.'

Object permanence (permalink)

#25yrsago RIP, Douglas Adams http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/1326657.stm

#20yrsago Douglas Coupland models his life & books on net rumors about him https://web.archive.org/web/20060515220320/https://www.wired.com/wired/archive/14.05/posts.html?pg=6

#15yrsago Vindictive lumber baron’s far-flung heirs inherit, 91 years after his death https://abcnews.com/Business/lumber-barons-descendants-receive-inheritance-92-years-death/story?id=13569633

#15yrsago R2D2 trashcan https://web.archive.org/web/20171208014511/https://i.imgur.com/x3w0I.jpg

#15yrsago Napier’s Bones: math and mysticism make for great international adventure https://memex.craphound.com/2011/05/12/napiers-bones-math-and-mysticism-make-for-great-international-adventure/

#15yrsago China’s shonky Disneyland-a-like park closed https://web.archive.org/web/20110515073221/https://thedisneyblog.com/2011/05/13/fake-disney-theme-park-in-china-forced-to-close/

#10yrsago Open letter to from EFF to members of the W3C Advisory Committee https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2016/05/open-letter-members-w3c-advisory-committee

#10yrsago Gallery show of forks stolen from rich people, sealed to preserve crumbs & saliva https://web.archive.org/web/20160505183026/https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2016/apr/27/crumbs-and-all-prince-harry-hillary-clinton-and-julia-gillard-have-cutlery-swiped-for-exhibition

#10yrsago German publishers owe writers €100M in misappropriated royalties https://uebermedien.de/4444/schoener-verlegen-mit-dem-geld-anderer-leute/

#10yrsago Chinese state-backed corporations beat US lawsuits with sovereign immunity https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-usa-companies-lawsuits-idUSKCN0Y2131/

#10yrsago Anal fisting site breached: 100K passwords, usernames, email addresses and IPs extracted https://web.archive.org/web/20160511121337/https://motherboard.vice.com/read/rosebuttboard-ip-board

#10yrsago Reading With Pictures: awesome, classroom-ready comics for math, social studies, science and language arts https://memex.craphound.com/2016/05/12/reading-with-pictures-awesome-classroom-ready-comics-for-math-social-studies-science-and-language-arts/

#5yrsago Crooked Timber's Ministry for the Future Seminar https://pluralistic.net/2021/05/12/seminar-for-the-future/#imaginations

#1yrago Trump can't do ANYTHING for his base https://pluralistic.net/2025/05/12/greased-slide/#greased-pole


Upcoming appearances (permalink)

A photo of me onstage, giving a speech, pounding the podium.



A screenshot of me at my desk, doing a livecast.

Recent appearances (permalink)



A grid of my books with Will Stahle covers..

Latest books (permalink)



A cardboard book box with the Macmillan logo.

Upcoming books (permalink)

  • "The Reverse-Centaur's Guide to AI," a short book about being a better AI critic, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, June 2026 (https://us.macmillan.com/books/9780374621568/thereversecentaursguidetolifeafterai/)

  • "Enshittification, Why Everything Suddenly Got Worse and What to Do About It" (the graphic novel), Firstsecond, 2026

  • "The Post-American Internet," a geopolitical sequel of sorts to Enshittification, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2027

  • "Unauthorized Bread": a middle-grades graphic novel adapted from my novella about refugees, toasters and DRM, FirstSecond, April 20, 2027

  • "The Memex Method," Farrar, Straus, Giroux, 2027



Colophon (permalink)

Today's top sources:

Currently writing: "The Post-American Internet," a sequel to "Enshittification," about the better world the rest of us get to have now that Trump has torched America. Third draft completed. Submitted to editor.

  • "The Reverse Centaur's Guide to AI," a short book for Farrar, Straus and Giroux about being an effective AI critic. LEGAL REVIEW AND COPYEDIT COMPLETE.

  • "The Post-American Internet," a short book about internet policy in the age of Trumpism. PLANNING.

  • A Little Brother short story about DIY insulin PLANNING


This work – excluding any serialized fiction – is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. That means you can use it any way you like, including commercially, provided that you attribute it to me, Cory Doctorow, and include a link to pluralistic.net.

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"When life gives you SARS, you make sarsaparilla" -Joey "Accordion Guy" DeVilla

READ CAREFULLY: By reading this, you agree, on behalf of your employer, to release me from all obligations and waivers arising from any and all NON-NEGOTIATED agreements, licenses, terms-of-service, shrinkwrap, clickwrap, browsewrap, confidentiality, non-disclosure, non-compete and acceptable use policies ("BOGUS AGREEMENTS") that I have entered into with your employer, its partners, licensors, agents and assigns, in perpetuity, without prejudice to my ongoing rights and privileges. You further represent that you have the authority to release me from any BOGUS AGREEMENTS on behalf of your employer.

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08:00 PM

Kanji of the Day: 泣 [Kanji of the Day]

✍8

小4

cry, weep, moan

キュウ

な.く

泣き   (なき)   —   weeping
泣く   (なく)   —   to cry
号泣   (ごうきゅう)   —   crying loudly
泣ける   (なける)   —   to shed tears
夜泣き   (よなき)   —   crying (of an infant) at night
泣き声   (なきごえ)   —   cry
泣き叫ぶ   (なきさけぶ)   —   to cry and shout
泣く泣く   (なくなく)   —   tearfully
泣く泣く   (なくなく)   —   tearfully
泣き寝入り   (なきねいり)   —   crying oneself to sleep

Generated with kanjioftheday by Douglas Perkins.

Kanji of the Day: 虹 [Kanji of the Day]

✍9

中学

rainbow

コウ

にじ

虹色   (にじいろ)   —   rainbow-colored
虹彩   (こうさい)   —   iris
白虹   (はっこう)   —   white rainbow
虹鱒   (にじます)   —   rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss)
虹霓   (こうげい)   —   rainbow
虹彩異色症   (こうさいいしょくしょう)   —   heterochromia iridis
副虹   (ふくこう)   —   secondary rainbow
主虹   (しゅにじ)   —   primary rainbow

Generated with kanjioftheday by Douglas Perkins.

02:00 PM

Valve Blocks Indie Dev Game For Including IP From The Same Indie Dev In Game [Techdirt]

Complaining about automagic enforcement of copyrights on the internet through copyright bots is so old hat at this point so as to be cliché. But there is a very good reason for that. Even in the narrower realm of PC gaming, we have seen examples of how copyright enforcement has ensnared totally innocent games, or fallen victim to clear fraud and abuse, resulting in the delisting of those games from platforms like Steam. This often happens in the all important early release windows for these games and, to be sure, it’s smaller indie studios that are hurt the most by this failed process. It’s incredibly frustrating to watch all of this in the macro and then witness the major platforms do absolutely nothing about it.

This, in fact, despite the absolutely absurd situations all of this produces. Take the demo for Wired Tokyo 2007 that was supposed to be released recently, but wasn’t, all because indie dev Daikichi dared to use intellectual property existing outside of the game. Except, of course, that said IP was the property of Daikichi itself.

As reported by VGC via GameSpark, a post to X from the developer lays out the situation, in which they explain that (via machine translation) “the motif of a board game I personally created in the past, placed within the game Wired Tokyo 2007, is getting caught by Steam’s side as third-party intellectual property.” As a result, Valve has blocked the release of the game’s promised demo which is currently listed as “Coming soon.”

The copyright-violating aspects, as claimed by Valve, include “dinosaur themed card-games shown on the environment within your app in gameplay,” which refers to a board game called Dinostone, created by one Daikichi. In Daikichi’s response, they link to the Board Game Geek page for their table-top game, which lists the same developer name.

“It’s not a third party,” says Daikichi on X. “It’s just me wanting to use my own intellectual property rights myself.” They add, “I have no idea what the meaning of this is at all.”

In an incredible response from Valve, the platform is demanding Daikichi provide some form of documented agreement to license the images used in the game, or else provide a documented letter of authorization from an attorney in order to get the demo approved for release. This is a “papers, please!” moment in video gaming, and it makes no sense.

The situation gets even more Monty-Python-esque from there. Daikichi decided their best course of action was to send a signed letter to itself, signed by itself, authorizing itself to use the assets it had created in the game it also had created.

Then over the weekend, rather wonderfully, the developer says they “created a signed document granting myself permission to use all of my created works, including board games, and resubmitted it for the demo review.”

We’ve crossed the Rubicon, folks. And now Valve is in the uncomfortable situation of having to choose between accepting this “evidence” of IP ownership when the evidence is literally a dev writing himself a letter like a crazy person, or else Valve refuses to accept it and a developer remains unable to release a game demo because they used their own property within it.

It’s a choice that only has two wrong outcomes. Sympathy is in short supply, however, as this is the result of the guilty-first process Valve has come up with for copyright takedowns on its platform.

09:00 AM

South Africa Used AI To Write Its Now Withdrawn AI Policy. The Citations Were Fake. [Techdirt]

Given how often we’ve seen AI-generated fake citations show up in legal filings and even legal decisions, you’d think the lesson would have sunk in by now: if you’re going to use AI to help draft something, you have to actually check what it produces. Apparently that lesson has not reached every government ministry.

Researcher Damien Charlotin was hunting for hallucinated citations using software he’d built for exactly that purpose, when he flagged something worth pausing on: South Africa’s proposed national AI policy contained at least four citations that don’t appear to exist.

The policy that contained hallucinated citations was, in part, a policy about the dangers of AI-generated misinformation.

And, days later, South Africa withdrew the proposal entirely.

South Africa has withdrawn its first draft national AI policy after revelations that it ​contained fictitious sources in its reference list ‌which appeared to have been AI-generated.

“The most plausible explanation is that AI-generated citations were included without proper verification. ​This should not have happened,” Minister of ​Communications and Digital Technologies Solly Malatsi said.

“This ⁠failure is not a mere technical issue but ​has compromised the integrity and credibility of the ​draft policy,” he wrote in a post on X on Sunday.

Compromised the integrity and credibility of the policy? Bit of an understatement, I’d say.

And, look, it’s perhaps no surprise that those looking to put in place an AI policy would be using the tech themselves, but it’s difficult to think that they can regulate it well when they don’t even appear to understand how to use it well (and when not to use it at all).

Naturally, the minister’s takeaway is that the tech needs more regulation:

“This unacceptable lapse proves why vigilant human ​oversight over the use of ​artificial intelligence is critical. It’s a lesson we take with humility,” ​he wrote.

That really feels a lot like blaming the tech for humans making dumb decisions with the tech. He’s not wrong that we need human oversight of the tool. The power of AI tools is only recognized when they are there to assist humans, not replace them, but it’s not clear how a policy position fixes that.

To me, this is more evidence that we need to do a much better job educating people about what these tools can and can’t do. And that’s harder than it sounds, because the companies selling these products have spent years aggressively overselling what AI can do while burying the caveats about how it should actually be used. The gap between what vendors promise and what the tools actually deliver is a big part of why people keep reaching for them in exactly the wrong contexts.

Malatsi’s instinct — regulate harder — is understandable, but it addresses the wrong problem. The behavior you’re trying to regulate here isn’t malicious; it’s lazy and uninformed. Regulation is reasonably good at deterring bad intent. It has a much worse track record against ignorance. People are going to keep trying to force these tools to do things they’re not good at, regardless of what the rules say, because convenience and overconfidence are powerful forces. The better outcome comes when people learn, through repeated direct experience, that the tool fails in these situations — and when the companies selling these tools are honest about where they fail.

There are still genuinely useful ways to deploy AI, even if stories like this make people think that the tech is never good at anything. But using it to generate citations for official government policy documents, without verifying a single one, is not among them.

Of course, rather than actually dealing with any of this, expect a new crop of startups offering tools that claim to review your AI-generated content for hallucinated citations — and are just as unreliable.

Pluralistic: Billionaire solipsism, dictator solipsism, AI, and the fascist paradigm (13 May 2026) [Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow]

->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->->-> Top Sources: None -->

Today's links



An aerial image of the planned city of Levittown, tinted light green. A circuit board bleeds through the open spaces on the town plan. Hovering over the town are Trump's disembodied, bloodshot eyes, in pouchy orange nests. Orange tentacles swarm over the town.

Billionaire solipsism, dictator solipsism, AI, and the fascist paradigm (permalink)

With great power comes great solipsism: the more power you wield over other people, the less real they become to you. To rule is to see people as aggregates, statistical artifacts, as a means to an end. It's how people seem when you're at the bottom of a k-hole.

Per Granny Weatherwax, this is the root of all evil: "Sin is when you treat people like things":

https://brer-powerofbabel.blogspot.com/2009/02/granny-weatherwax-on-sin-favorite.html

The problem (for powerful people) is that other people aren't things; they're people, with stubborn attachments to their own priorities and needs. This is a huge problem for social media bosses, since the force that keeps you stuck to their platforms is your love of your friends, which sucks (for social media bosses), because your friends refuse to organize their interactions with you to "maximize engagement." There is a group of platform users who are dedicated to maximizing your engagement: performers (which is why legacy social media platforms have reduced the quantum of your feed given over to your friends to a bare minimum and swapped in the amateur dramatics of theater kids). But even "influencers" demand treatment as people, not things (which is why legacy social media is squeezing out performers in favor of slop):

https://pluralistic.net/2026/04/17/for-youze/#forever

Running a social media service is especially solipsism-inducing, since the back-end of a social media service always reduces people to statistical artifacts to be steered, thwarted, or rewarded based on the degree to which they are "maximizing engagement." No wonder zuckermuskian social media bosses mythologize themselves as dopamine-hacking wizards who've built a mind-control ray. Skinnerism and solipsism fit together very neatly, seducing you into the belief that everyone else is a stimulus-responding automaton, programmed to think they have free will:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/05/07/rah-rah-rasputin/#credulous-dolts

(Of course, the AI boss version of this is the belief that everyone else is a "stochastic parrot":)

https://xcancel.com/sama/status/1599471830255177728

But in truth, any corporate boss is prone to solipsism. To maximize corporate profits, you must view other people – employees, suppliers and customers – as inconvenient problems to be solved, not true people with feelings and needs that are co-equal with your own.

This is why AI is so attractive to the ruling class. For corporate leaders, the fantasy of your own worth is always dangerously close to collapsing, due to the haunting knowledge that if you don't show up for work, everything continues as per normal; while if your workers don't show up for work, the shop closes down and stays closed. Bosses really want to be in the driver's seat, but ultimately they know that they're strapped into the back seat, playing with a Fisher Price steering wheel. AI is a way to wire that toy steering wheel directly into the drive-train: it's the fantasy that a boss can have an idea and the corporation will execute it, without any messy human needs or demands getting in the way:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/01/05/fisher-price-steering-wheel/#billionaire-solipsism

Solipsism is why bosses fetishize IP and ignore process knowledge. IP is the part of the job that the worker can explain (and that you can train an AI model on). Process knowledge is the part of the job that can't be abstracted, alienated or commodified. The very existence of process knowledge is the major impediment to de-skilling workers so they can be interchanged with other, more desperate, more timid workers (or with sycophantic AI):

https://pluralistic.net/2025/09/08/process-knowledge/#dance-monkey-dance

Of course, there's a whole group of powerful people outside of the political world who are gripped by solipsistic AI fantasies: politicians. Like social media bosses, politicians deal with people as statistical artifacts who respond to policy inputs with semi-predictable outputs:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seeing_Like_a_State

And of course, politicians have their own detested class of workers whom they fantasize about replacing with chatbots: bureaucracies. When Trump et al bemoan the "deep state," they are engaged in the politicians' version of the corporate boss's solipsism: "I make policies, but to enact them, I have to convince civil servants to turn my agenda into action. This sucks. Can't we just have an all-powerful executive who decides on things and then those things just happen?"

Writing for Columbia's Knight First Amendment Institute, political scientist Henry Farrell and statistician Cosma Rohilla Shalizi have produced the definitive account of how AI psychosis has infected our political classes:

https://knightcolumbia.org/content/ai-as-social-technology

Farrell and Shalizi use this political AI psychosis to explain DOGE, framing DOGE as a project where politicians and their loyal vassals cut such a deep wound in the administrative state on the basis that general AI was about to emerge. With godlike AI around the corner, these bureaucrats – who insist on having opinions based on long experience and ethical sensibilities – could be replaced with sycophantic chatbots who'd turn the will of the unitary executive into policy without any filtration through unreliable, squishy humans.

This is a political version of my maxim that "the fact that an AI can't do your job doesn't stop an AI salesman from convincing your boss to fire you and replace you with an AI that can't do your job." Private sector bosses are easy marks for AI salesmen, and not just because they want to reduce their wage bills, but also because it will fulfill the solipsist's fantasy of a corporation that turns the singular genius of the boss into a product without any messy demands from workers (and, if you're Zuckerberg and convinced that you've created a mind-control ray, your product can be rolled out without any messy demands from your customers, either, since you've hypnotized them into doing as they're told).

The public sector version of this is the fantasy that you can eliminate the civil service and use an army of chatbots to do the job – not merely as a way of slashing the federal budget, but also as a way of purifying the transfer of the leader's will to the people without any intervening loss of fidelity resulting from the need to have your policies interpreted (and willfuly misinterpreted) by bureaucrats.

This is a very important framing, and it explains why fascists like Trump and dead-eyed technocrats like Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney are hell-bent on gutting their countries' civil service and replacing it with chatbots:

https://policyoptions.irpp.org/2026/04/carney-ai-government-risks/

This is how Muskism and DOGE connect to Trumpism and AI: Musk doesn't believe other people are real. He calls them "NPCs" (non-player characters). He wants to put a microchip in your head so he can "replace your bad programming":

https://pluralistic.net/2026/04/21/torment-nexusism/#marching-to-pretoria

It's the fascist paradigm: the idea that people are incapable of self-rule, save for a very small number of singular geniuses who should be put in a position of absolute authority over all of us, to keep us safe from our own foolish impulses:

https://pluralistic.net/2026/05/12/donella-meadows/#paradigmatic

The Technocrats – a protofascist Italian movement that once captured the imagination of Musk's great-grandfather, and now are frequently quoted and alluded to by the likes of Mark Andreessen – were addicted to the quantitative fallacy that infects economics and other disciplines. That's the idea that every social process can be expressed as a mathematical model, which can then be optimized.

The problem, of course, is that much of the real world is qualitative, and the act of quantizing those qualia is a very lossy process. To quantize a qualitative question is to incinerate all the qualitative aspects and then do mathematics on the dubious quantitative ash that is left behind:

https://locusmag.com/feature/cory-doctorow-qualia/

In their paper, Farrell and Shalizi cite Ben Recht's maxim that "you can’t optimize a trade-off":

https://www.argmin.net/p/are-there-always-trade-offs

But of course, we optimize trade-offs all the time. That's what being a boss means, and it's also at the very core of self-determination: the right to decide what trade-offs you want to make. What Recht means is "you can't optimize a trade-off for everyone else." Those stubborn not-quite-people – customers, workers, bureaucrats – insist that they want different trade-offs.

In translating the will of a supreme leader to policy without any intervening need for buy-in by humans, fascist projects like DOGE seek to optimize trade-offs according to the preferences of the supreme leader. AI in government is grounded in the idea that a sufficiently deserving leader can be trusted to vibe-code the entire apparatus of state, checked only by his own sense of rightness:

https://thehill.com/policy/international/5680714-trump-morality-international-law/

Farrell and Shalizi forcefully make the point that statecraft is not a set of discrete problems with provably correct answers that must be solved. Government is a matter of making choices between mutually exclusive policies that have benefits and costs, and those costs and benefits befall different groups differently.

The idea that you can simply feed every fact about a society into a chatbot and order it to "solve" the nation reveals a profound ignorance about the nature of political contests. There's no empirical way of deciding whose priorities deserve to be realized and who must be disappointed. There isn't even an empirical way to compare the benefits that one group receives to the costs another group pays.

What's more, any system that uses LLMs to make high-stakes tradeoffs between different societal priorities will be relentlessly targeted by the groups that stand to win or lose based on those decisions, and by bureaucrats whose careers depend on making the number go up. They will poison the LLMs' training data, figure out how to trick it into deceiving their bosses about the situation on the ground.

Back in 2018, Yuval Harari predicted that LLMs would supercharge dictatorships by overcoming "authoritarian blindness" – when the suppression of political opinion is so effective that the first sign that a dictator has of his waning support is a mob that burns the presidential palace down. This prediction failed, because people who live under dictators have switched all the energy they used to use to put on a good show for the secret police into putting a good show on for the chatbots:

https://pluralistic.net/2023/07/26/dictators-dilemma/#garbage-in-garbage-out-garbage-back-in

Meanwhile, the "variability" introduced by bureaucrats who adapt political policies is a feature, not a bug. When a long-tenured public official receives a directive from on-high that they know will be a disaster if implemented unchanged, they can tweak the policy so that it is at least partially successful.

Fire that bureaucrat and hand the policy to a rigidly loyal LLM that will not deviate from its strict instructions and you will end up with nothing (rather than a perfect policy implementation). Indeed, you may end up with less than nothing, as resentful local populations sabotage your agenda.

Both Hayek and Marx agreed that people at the very periphery of the system have insights into local conditions that no boss/central planner can know (though they disagreed about what that fact implied). An LLM is the ultimate micro-manager, and government by Computer Says No would only work if the person writing the system prompt knew everything about everyone everywhere.

As Farrell and Shalizi write,

The frustrations of actually existing bureaucracy do not merely arise from inept or technically-inadequate solutions to the principal-agent problem. They emerge too from the collision of multiple incommensurable demands, each with its own problems and benefits, so that there are no optimal design solutions. Those who build or reform bureaucracies, like those who build other artifacts, need to satisfice across multiple intersecting needs and pathologies. Designs that neatly address one kind of problem may radically worsen others. Actually-existing AI has its own imperfections, some of which are endemic. Grafting AI systems onto existing bureaucracies will solve some problems but will worsen others and make altogether new ones. It will not eliminate the political difficulties of mediating across different, often non-commensurable, goals. Imagining replacing bureaucracy wholesale with AI is only plausible if one waves away the actual difficulties associated with real social technologies.


Hey look at this (permalink)



A shelf of leatherbound history books with a gilt-stamped series title, 'The World's Famous Events.'

Object permanence (permalink)

#25yrsago Woz's programmable remotes https://web.archive.org/web/20010603184833/http://www.celadon.com/Industrial/PIC200/pic200oem.html

#25yrsago Furbeowulf http://www.trygve.com/furbeowulf.html

#20yrsago Diebold voting machines can be 0wned in minutes https://blog.citp.princeton.edu/2006/05/11/report-claims-very-serious-diebold-voting-machine-flaws/

#20yrsago British farmer supplies gallows to totalitarian governments http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/england/suffolk/4754515.stm

#20yrsago Proposed law requires schools to censor MySpace, LJ, blogs, Flickr https://web.archive.org/web/20060521054806/http://www.pbs.org/teachersource/learning.now/2006/05/new_federal_legislation_would_1.html

#15yrsago Vernor Vinge on the promise, progress and threats of Augmented Reality https://www.ugotrade.com/2011/05/10/interview-with-vernor-vinge-smart-phones-and-the-empowering-aspects-of-social-networks-augmented-reality-are-still-massively-underhyped/

#15yrsago American oligarch buys the right to hire professors at Florida State U https://web.archive.org/web/20110511210435/https://www.tampabay.com/news/business/billionaires-role-in-hiring-decisions-at-florida-state-university-raises/1168680/

#15yrsago National Jukebox: public domain music archive from the Library of Congress https://www.loc.gov/collections/national-jukebox/about-this-collection/

#15yrsago America’s net censorship bill is back and worse than ever https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2011/05/revised-net-censorship-bill-requires-search-engines-to-block-sites-too/

#10yrsago DNC Host Committee composed of GOP megadonors, Net Neutrality haters, fracking boosters and anti-Obamacare lobbyists https://web.archive.org/web/20160511160814/https://theintercept.com/2016/05/11/lobbyists-dnc-2016-convention/

#10yrsago Minnesota lawmakers propose bizarre, dangerous PRINCE law https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2016/05/minnesota-legislators-go-crazy-pushing-dangerous-prince-act

#10yrsago NZ Prime Minister John Key ejected from Parliament over Panama Papers rant https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/prime-minister-john-key-thrown-out-of-debating-chamber-by-speaker/A5LQPMGB56QXTGE2ZFIK2MSRPE/?c_id=1&objectid=11637448

#10yrsago Putting two elevators in one shaft https://web.archive.org/web/20160512013856/https://www.wired.com/2016/05/thyssenkrup-twin-elevator/

#10yrsago Germany will end copyright liability for open wifi operators https://torrentfreak.com/germany-to-rescind-piracy-liability-for-open-wifi-operators-160511/

#10yrsago Save Firefox: The W3C’s plan for worldwide DRM would have killed Mozilla before it could start https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2016/04/save-firefox

#5yrsago Let's eat all the cicadas https://pluralistic.net/2021/05/11/uniboob/#eat-the-brood#5yrsago

#5yrsago Cyclopedia Exotica https://pluralistic.net/2021/05/11/uniboob/#one-eye-and-three-dot-dot-dot


Upcoming appearances (permalink)

A photo of me onstage, giving a speech, pounding the podium.



A screenshot of me at my desk, doing a livecast.

Recent appearances (permalink)



A grid of my books with Will Stahle covers..

Latest books (permalink)



A cardboard book box with the Macmillan logo.

Upcoming books (permalink)

  • "The Reverse-Centaur's Guide to AI," a short book about being a better AI critic, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, June 2026 (https://us.macmillan.com/books/9780374621568/thereversecentaursguidetolifeafterai/)

  • "Enshittification, Why Everything Suddenly Got Worse and What to Do About It" (the graphic novel), Firstsecond, 2026

  • "The Post-American Internet," a geopolitical sequel of sorts to Enshittification, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2027

  • "Unauthorized Bread": a middle-grades graphic novel adapted from my novella about refugees, toasters and DRM, FirstSecond, April 20, 2027

  • "The Memex Method," Farrar, Straus, Giroux, 2027



Colophon (permalink)

Today's top sources:

Currently writing: "The Post-American Internet," a sequel to "Enshittification," about the better world the rest of us get to have now that Trump has torched America. Third draft completed. Submitted to editor.

  • "The Reverse Centaur's Guide to AI," a short book for Farrar, Straus and Giroux about being an effective AI critic. LEGAL REVIEW AND COPYEDIT COMPLETE.

  • "The Post-American Internet," a short book about internet policy in the age of Trumpism. PLANNING.

  • A Little Brother short story about DIY insulin PLANNING


This work – excluding any serialized fiction – is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. That means you can use it any way you like, including commercially, provided that you attribute it to me, Cory Doctorow, and include a link to pluralistic.net.

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Quotations and images are not included in this license; they are included either under a limitation or exception to copyright, or on the basis of a separate license. Please exercise caution.


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"When life gives you SARS, you make sarsaparilla" -Joey "Accordion Guy" DeVilla

READ CAREFULLY: By reading this, you agree, on behalf of your employer, to release me from all obligations and waivers arising from any and all NON-NEGOTIATED agreements, licenses, terms-of-service, shrinkwrap, clickwrap, browsewrap, confidentiality, non-disclosure, non-compete and acceptable use policies ("BOGUS AGREEMENTS") that I have entered into with your employer, its partners, licensors, agents and assigns, in perpetuity, without prejudice to my ongoing rights and privileges. You further represent that you have the authority to release me from any BOGUS AGREEMENTS on behalf of your employer.

ISSN: 3066-764X

I Had Lots of Questions About The China Summit. So I Talked To An Expert: My Brother! [The Status Kuo]

Kaiser Kuo is co-founder and host of the long-running Sinica Podcast, a weekly conversation on current affairs in China.

With the long-anticipated summit between the U.S. and China top of mind for much of the world, I thought we should hear from one of the leading experts on Sino-U.S. relations, Kaiser Kuo, who happens also to be my brother. I had lots of broad topics to cover, and he did not disappoint!

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JAY: President Trump is headed to China for a much anticipated summit with President Xi Jinping. After enduring a period that’s seen a global tariff war and a regional U.S. war with Iran, it feels like there is a lot more than usual at stake. What’s your take on those stakes?

KAISER: There is indeed a lot at stake in the meeting, so much so that I don’t believe either side has the appetite for a risky gambit. The two presidents and the nations they lead are in a standoff that I like to describe as Mutually Assured Disruption — alas, not my coinage. Each has its hand on a vital chokepoint in the other’s supply chain: the U.S. still has leverage over inputs for the design and manufacture of high-end semiconductors, as well as some of the chips that power the most advanced AI systems. China, as we all know, controls the overwhelming majority of the refining and processing of rare earth elements, needed for a huge range of American industries — including for advanced weapons.

Both sides want, at a minimum, to buy time to address their respective vulnerabilities. Ever since American restrictions on China’s access to tech started in the first Trump administration, and especially when those restrictions expanded dramatically in the Biden years, China has been going all-out to create a supply chain for leading-edge silicon it controls entirely, free of U.S. intellectual property. While Beijing has made considerable progress, there’s still a sizable gap — especially in the chips needed to train frontier AI models.

Meanwhile, Beijing showed its ability to disrupt the U.S. with its near-monopoly on rare earth refining and processing in response to Washington’s move to massively expand its “Entity List” of sanctioned Chinese companies in late September of last year. That move forced Trump to back down and accept a truce in Busan, Korea: industry panicked and markets tanked as the full extent of the rare earth export controls sank in, and Trump had little choice but to withdraw the expansion of the Entity List. Ever since, the U.S. has been moving more urgently to stand up its own (or allied) rare earths processing capabilities. Most of the experts I’ve heard discussing American progress on rare earths have noted the offtake agreements and price floors that should provide some incentive for firms to get into the rare earths processing business, but still see meaningful levels of production anywhere from two to five years away.

In any case, this is not a stable equilibrium. My sense is that Beijing believes it can meaningfully address its chip-related vulnerabilities before the U.S. can address its rare earth problem, given the Trump administration’s (and America’s) penchant for distraction and its own progress to date on even some notoriously difficult technologies, like extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography. But I also think Trump and those around him are confident that the U.S. can close the gap in rare earth mining and processing if it sets its mind to it, in another Operation Warp Speed.

Whatever the case, the real stakes are higher still, and even wildly optimistic hopes for this summit in Beijing don’t foresee a breakthrough in, say, climate cooperation, or pandemic preparedness, or addressing the huge issues around AI governance and safety. The best we can hope for is that Mutually Assured Disruption endures long enough for the baseline temperature to come down, for all the connections of business, education, and for people-to-people exchange that once constituted meaningful ballast in the relationship to be reconstituted.

Meanwhile, the rest of the world, from the E.U. to the U.S.’s beleaguered allies in both Europe and Asia, from Moscow to the Gulf States, and across the so-called Global South, will be watching with bated breath. Few states want to see Great Power rivalry intensify; adjusting to the “rupture” Canadian PM Mark Carney described in Davor, and hedging between the U.S. and China by middle powers is difficult enough as it is. Nor do they want to see the kind of “G2” world that Trump seems to prefer, where the fate of smaller nations is decided by Beijing and Washington. There’s much at stake for everyone.

JAY: I do feel for the ”middle powers” like Canada that are just trying to make it through this era.

Given how badly things are going at home and in his disastrous war of choice, it feels like Trump desperately needs some kind of foreign policy win. Is there anything you sense he is hoping to achieve through this meeting, and what’s the likelihood he actually gets it? We’ve heard very little about what the goal is, and the expectations appear to be set fairly low.

KAISER: Yes, the expectations are low, and not only within the U.S. punditry and its so-called “China-watchers,” but in China as well. It’s possible that Trump plans some kind of upside surprise, but neither of the likely candidates for such a surprise — a breakthrough in Iran or some kind of deal on Taiwan — is likely to be seen domestically as any unequivocal “foreign policy win.”

The Iran War is weighing on both economies, and there’s an opportunity for Beijing to play a bigger role. It’s clearly something the U.S. side wants: Scott Bessent has called on China to “step up,” and President Trump has reportedly raised the issue in preliminary discussions on more than one occasion. As I’ll get into later, there’s a lot of skepticism that Beijing can be persuaded to meaningfully advance the peace process, but I actually think China’s interests will be better served, both in terms of its domestic economy and its international clout, if it does try to play more of a role. It’s hard for me to imagine a better time.

Even if the summit does expedite the opening of Hormuz and a durable peace, I don’t think Trump will be able to spin it as much of a win. All the people who advanced 5D chess arguments about how Iran (and Venezuela) were about China all along will be miffed if Beijing proves instrumental in the peace and Gulf hydrocarbons start heading toward Chinese refineries again. For the rest of us, it will only underscore the pointlessness of the whole endeavor.

There’s been a lot of chatter on both sides of the Pacific over a potential deal involving Taiwan, sometimes involving a “grand bargain,” other times mooting the possibility of the U.S. side changing the language it uses on Taiwan (e.g., from “The U.S. does not support Taiwan independence” to “The U.S. opposes Taiwan independence”). My gut says no, but given Trump’s utter unpredictability, I don’t trust my gut when it comes to the American president. He has clearly cooled on Taiwan: after the failure of the first tranche of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP’s) efforts to bring down even one of the dozens of opposition (Kuomintang) legislators the DPP targeted in a massive recall vote last summer, Trump canceled Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te’s scheduled transit through the U.S., as well as a planned meeting between U.S. and Taiwanese defense officials. He has been openly critical of Taiwan’s trade surplus with the U.S., imposed initial 34% tariffs on the island’s exports to the States (later lowered to 15%), and perhaps most importantly de-prioritized deterring conflict over Taiwan in the National Security Strategy.

It’s possible that the Chinese side will push Taiwan toward the center of the agenda during the presidential meetings. Reports on pre-summit negotiations indicate that Chinese diplomats are still underscoring the centrality of Taiwan. But Xi will likely manage his expectations. Maintaining some bilateral stability will be the priority, and Chinese “America-watchers” understand that pushing too hard on the Taiwan issue will hurt Trump at home and may stoke anti-PRC flames in America just at a time when the polls show they’re beginning to die down. Beijing will count anything that meaningfully extends the ceasefire from Busan as a win.

JAY: Trump is unpredictable, I’ll grant that. Self-interest is pretty much the only thing we can count on him serving.

On the flip side, what does Xi Jinping hope to achieve through direct in-person talks? Is he facing the kinds of domestic or international pressures to show progress, or is this a chance for him to show dominance over the U.S.?

KAISER: I think Xi knows very well what optics play well for his domestic audience, and he will have been briefed that the same playbook — projecting nonchalance, coherence, confidence, reason, and stability — plays equally well to an international audience just for the contrast with Trump if nothing else. The power shift from the last time Trump came, in 2017 on the eve of the first trade war, is not lost on Chinese audiences. They’re all very aware that Beijing’s push to ready itself for an inevitable second trade war has paid off handsomely, and that China alone among major economies stood its ground after Trump’s so-called reciprocal tariffs were announced on April 2, 2025. They’ve watched as China has punched back hard with each new round, and how Trump dined on TACOs each time. “Trump Always Chickens Out” was especially true when it came to China.

In the last few months, since the beginning of the Iran War, China’s confidence has been further inflated, and it’s telling that before I left Beijing on April 21, I heard a lot of concern among my Chinese interlocutors over the potential for overconfidence and even hubris: We shouldn’t count America out, we mustn’t rest on our laurels, we should resist gloating. I personally thought that Beijing’s refusal to confirm that Trump was actually going to travel to China until only four days before his trip seemed rather gratuitous. But I don’t expect any deliberate snubs or provocations. I think Beijing still assesses him to be the same man: a narcissist who is susceptible to flattery and irreducibly transactional.

JAY: Xi has always had Trump’s number when it comes to sizing him up or facing him down. It’s been the same dynamic from the get-go.

The summit was originally scheduled before Trump launched his ill-fated war with Iran. That has scrambled the picture considerably, with questions over whether Iran can and will continue to be able to supply China with the oil it needs, and whether other Asian nations’ economies are vulnerable to supply disruptions of everything from LPG to fertilizer to helium for semiconductor manufacturing. How do you see the chaos and uncertainty of Iran War factoring into the summit?

KAISER: It’s such a pity that the original meeting was rescheduled because of the Iran War. It would have put Trump in Beijing from March 31 to April 2 — and the optics of Trump being in Beijing, leaving the Chinese capital on the one-year anniversary of “Liberation Day,” would have been delicious. A very clever Chinese planner might have arranged for him to sample Peking Duck on that day, and someone might have told him, “Mr. President, this is a Chinese taco.”

JAY: Okay, that’s funny.

KAISER: On the Iran War, it’s really generated two distinct narratives in the U.S., neither of which I think gets it right. The first, which you hear more from people who want to justify not only Iran but potentially Venezuela as well, says this was all ultimately about China. It was about dislodging it somehow from Latin America, in the case of Venezuela, and from the Middle East, in the case of Iran. The argument leans heavily on China’s dependence on imported oil, which makes superficial sense: Just in the case of Iran, roughly 45% of China’s imported oil was transiting the Strait of Hormuz before the war.

The second narrative says, no, China has actually come out ahead because of the Iran War. China sells more photovoltaic solar panels and more electric vehicles, as countries try to limit their exposure to oil and gas price shocks. China sits on enormous strategic petroleum reserves. China watches the United States burn through very expensive stockpiles of interceptor missiles. And China watches the so-called Pivot to Asia — which three successive presidencies have insisted was really, actually, seriously happening this time — get frustrated yet again. Meanwhile, it’s cleaning up diplomatically as the U.S. alienates its allies and China wins plaudits across the developing world.

What’s clear to me is that China would much rather none of this had happened at all. It’s not happy about burning through its petroleum reserve, or about gas that was $5 a gallon in Beijing when I was last there in late April, or shortages of the helium that’s needed for its all-important semiconductor industry. This is an important part of why, especially given China’s economic difficulties, I’m inclined to think Beijing will be open to leveraging its relationship with Tehran to speed along an end to the conflict.

JAY: We can all only hope that’s true. Whatever it takes to end this madness.

Looking back over the past year, whenever the U.S. attacks another country without international go-ahead, there’s inevitably a discussion of whether this gives China permission to attack Taiwan. Is that framing misguided? Should we be worried that China will leverage the current situation to make a move against the island?

KAISER: Yes, this was true with Russia and Ukraine in 2022: it’s not just the U.S. But China’s calculation on when or if it makes an aggressive move against Taiwan has very little to do with “permission,” or a perceived loss of American moral standing. Whether Xi Jinping is able at a given moment to point toward Washington and decry its hypocrisy for its naked transgressions of international law will not tip the balance one way or another. This framing focuses on a minor factor in China’s calculus. Compared, say, to the depletion in interceptors (and the low stocks of artillery and missiles because of American commitments to Ukraine), it hardly rates.

But even then, it’s highly unlikely we’ll see China make a move on Taiwan in the coming several years. Xi Jinping has absolutely gutted the PLA’s top brass, removing nearly all the other members of the Central Military Commission on corruption charges. This doesn’t strike me as something one does if one plans on undertaking the single diciest and central mission that the Chinese armed forces have been preparing for for many years. And this may strike many of your readers as counterintuitive, but I actually think that the fact that Xi Jinping has amassed as much power as he has during the 13 years of his rule serves not as a goad to military adventurism but actually as a curb on it. Yes, he does think about his legacy — but he knows that if he continues to build China into a wealthy, powerful, confident, technologically advanced nation without any major disruptions, that legacy is secure. He has no legitimacy deficit to address as far as Chinese nationalists are concerned. His reputation won’t suffer because he failed in his term in office to take Taiwan. But if, on the other hand, he gambles on Taiwan — risking intervention by the U.S., Japan, and Australia; a global depression once the world’s source of advanced semiconductors is under assault; and pariah status at least in the West — he bets it all, and for what? Even a bloody nose could prove politically fatal. The Russia example in Ukraine is anything but encouraging.

JAY: I feel better already! But I agree, Xi is shrewd and in no hurry, and Taiwan is far more valuable as a point of leverage than a point of conflict.

In past summits, the question of China’s human rights record has come up. Is that off the table this time, given the U.S.’s own horrifying record lately? Does the Chinese government have a freer hand to crack down as a result?

KAISER: It’s not like there was a time over the last 50-odd years where China felt constrained in its actions because it viewed the American record on human rights as spotless. Beijing has always had something it can point to, whether we believe those counterclaims to be valid criticisms or merely bad faith whataboutism. I’m sure that the Chinese side — spokespeople, the state media, pundits, perhaps Xi himself — has been primed with talking points should Trump or one of his entourage raise human rights issues. Knowing as they surely do that in light of Iran and especially Gaza, Trump will not likely win over international opinion (especially in the Global South) should he bring up human rights, Beijing might just be smart enough not to clap back and to leave the opprobrium to the global audience that will be watching, rapt.

And no, this doesn’t give the Chinese government a freer hand to crack down. As with Taiwan, I think this framing is more about American comfort levels with hypocrisy than about actual Chinese calculus.

JAY: Given inflation pressures in America, the existing tariffs only make things pricier, especially given how much comes from China to U.S. markets. Meanwhile, American farmers are eager to rebuild their lost markets in agricultural products. Is there any hope for a breakthrough on trade? What might that look like?

KAISER: I don’t hold out much hope that tariffs will be negotiated downward. China can live with current tariff levels. Exports to the U.S. dropped dramatically in 2025 after the April “Liberation Day” announcements, but China enjoyed a record trade surplus of $1.2 trillion for the year, and exports have grown way above expectations in the first months of 2026. Much of China’s exports were redirected toward developing nations, but also to Europe, where trade issues are nearing a breaking point. If you’re the Trump administration, that’s good news: You can continue to browbeat and insult your European allies, and they can’t all go running to China.

But I do expect that there will be some low-hanging fruit with big numbers attached: soybeans, as we saw in the Phase 1 trade deal in 2018 and again in Trump’s meeting with Xi in Busan last year, are likely to figure into this. China pledged to buy 25 million metric tons of soybeans annually for the next several years, and this figure might rise.

My most optimistic hope still within the realm of reason would be for a major investment agreement, similar in some ways to the $550 billion investment pledge that Trump wrested out of Tokyo. To be meaningful, it would probably need to be 11 digits — in the hundreds of billions of dollars — and would likely center on battery production in the U.S., with agreements on local hire numbers, commitments for union jobs, and of course technology transfer agreements. I don’t think this is likely, and I’m not holding my breath, but I expect something along these lines is coming down the pipe, if not in this meeting then perhaps in the year-end meeting in Washington that they now have planned.

JAY: Aside from areas of competition and tension, what are the areas of real cooperation that the two countries could work on?

KAISER: I have a long list of areas for real cooperation, many of them urgent, but almost none of them feasible under this administration. Almost anything environmental is a non-starter for the president who pulled out twice from the Paris Climate Agreement. Cooperation on pandemic prevention is, tragically, another non-starter. We seem to have learned all the wrong lessons from COVID: legally banning, rather than strengthening, collaboration between U.S. and Chinese researchers; pulling out of the WHO; defunding NIH and other centers of scientific research.

Though I’m not some kind of AI doomer, I’m far from cavalier about the risks, and given that the U.S. and China are the two countries in the world far, far ahead of the rest in their capabilities in AI (and in all the technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution), a U.S.-China agreement on AI governance would have practically global impact. This, too, is likely to be frustrated by the fact that so many of the tech bros who have Trump’s ear regard the main goal of “AI governance” to be simply preventing China from catching up in the “AI race.”

And then there’s the nuclear arms race, now gaining speed. Trump fancied himself at one point an expert on nuclear arms reduction, and given the expansion and modernization of both the U.S. and Chinese nuclear arsenals now underway, I’d love to see the U.S. president rediscover and exercise that particular competency.

JAY: China is seen as a chief competitor of the U.S. In what areas is China truly pulling ahead of us, and where should we work to catch up?

KAISER: China is ahead in advanced robotics including humanoid robotics, in electric vehicles and batteries, in new battery chemistries, in ultrahigh voltage (UHV) electrical transmission, in manufacture of solar panels, in wind turbines including offshore wind, in high-speed railroad (with 50,000 km of high-speed rail line operating in China today), in 5G communications infrastructure, in shipbuilding, in consumer drones, and in the low-altitude economy (e.g., delivery drones and the eVTOL “flying taxi” solutions). China is also pulling ahead in nuclear power, with new safe nuclear power technologies like thorium or molten salt reactors and pebble-bed reactors.

JAY: So now I think we’re toast.

KAISER: You’ll notice how many of these are related to the energy grid and to renewables. Many people are already talking about China’s emergence as an “electrostate,” and the case can certainly be made: with its robust grid and continent-scale UHV transmission, its fast deployment of renewable energy, and its generally high capacity in electrical generation, China is in an enviable position and won’t face the same bottleneck the U.S. already faces in providing sufficient, affordable power for the datacenters that both countries are building out at scale.

China’s advantage is not in technology innovation itself, as most Americans understand it: It’s in its ability to diffuse technology and push for its adoption in enterprise, and of course in the sheer scale of its manufacturing, as well as its control of supply chains, and its ability to drive down costs through scale. We’re starting to come around to the idea that certain forms of industrial policy, deliberate vertical integration (as China has done by basically linking EVs to batteries and robotics) can really amplify these strengths. We tend in America to fetishize that ex nihilo, 0-to-1 innovation rather than the 1 to 100 scaling. That’s something we should really try to learn from China.

JAY: Sounds like we have a lot we could learn. Thanks for coming by to chat! I always learn a lot in our discussions. And folks, if you want to keep up to date on all things China, you can subscribe to Kaiser’s Sinica Podcast at the link in the blurb below.

Kaiser Kuo is the co-founder and host of the Sinica Podcast, the leading English-language current affairs show on China, and contributes to the World Economic Forum and to numerous publications. He has lived in China for over 20 years, and recently moved back to Beijing after 10 years in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. He is the guitarist of the band Chunqiu (Spring & Autumn).

07:00 AM

DOJ Possibly Facing Contempt Charges After Admitting DHS Press Release Was False [Techdirt]

Let’s hope the word “possibly” can be stricken from this headline in the near future. And while contempt charges don’t mean much to an administration that is openly contemptuous of anything that hints at checks or balances, it would, at the very least, encourage other judges to stop treating the Trump DOJ like it’s worthy of anything less than contempt.

If nothing else, federal judge Melissa DuBose has at least forced the government to publicly admit it’s been lying to her.

A federal judge said Monday that the Trump administration had put her security at risk by posting a “patently false” allegation that she knowingly released an ICE detainee with an international warrant for murder.

Justice Department attorney Kevin Bolan profusely apologized to Rhode Island-based U.S. District Judge Melissa DuBose for the press release posted last week by the Department of Homeland Security, which Bolan acknowledged “simply was not true.”

Let’s go live (because — for whatever reason — the press release is still “live”) to the DHS website posting, which leads off with this headline because it’s operated by unserious people who have chosen to serve an autocratic megalomaniac rather than the nation itself:

Activist Biden Judge Releases Violent Criminal Illegal Alien Wanted for Murder

A judge ordering the release of an arrestee on bail is rarely reason for a public statement by a federal agency. Normally, they’ve got better stuff to do that engage in personal attacks on judges who have done nothing more than interpreted the law and ruled accordingly.

Every alleged crime is noted in bold type in the press release, which also includes this statement from the DHS (emphasis in the original):

“Bryan Rafael Gomez is a criminal illegal alien from the Dominican Republic with an international warrant for homicide,” said Acting Assistant Secretary Lauren Bis. “An activist judge appointed by Joe Biden released this wanted murderer back into American communities. This is yet another example of an activist judge trying to thwart President Trump’s mandate from the American people to remove criminal illegal aliens from our communities. Under President Trump and Secretary Mullin, DHS will continue to fight for the removal of criminal illegal aliens who have no right to be in our country.”

Even if you choose to ignore the headline and the politically motivated attacks on the judge, you’re still left with something that isn’t normally the way the federal government does business. After all, judges are part of a co-equal branch, and there’s little to be gained by pretending normal court stuff is “activism.”

There’s even less to be gained when it’s discovered that the government’s lawyers didn’t bother to apprise the judge of this homicide warrant the DHS is now using to attack the judiciary. And what’s left of the DOJ appears to have realized this belatedly. There’s a lot of contrition in this short filing that Assistant US Attorney Charles Calenda (who oversees the affected jurisdiction) hopes will defuse the judge’s righteous anger.

Signed by Assistant US Attorney Kevin Bolan, the response to Judge DuBose’s order to show cause blames ICE for misleading the judge, even though it was Bolan who ultimately did the misleading:

Before the response was filed, I had been informed by ICE about the Petitioner’s pending arrest warrant issued on January 24, 2023, from a court in the Dominican Republic and that I could not disclose that information. I was not aware that ICE had previously disclosed that same information on April 16, 2026. In failing to disclose the information regarding Petitioner’s criminal history, I relied on ICE’s representation that I was not permitted to disclose that information and understood that a legitimate law enforcement reason prevented disclosure. Judge DuBose, therefore, lacked that information about the Petitioner’s criminal background when she granted the petition.

I sincerely apologize to Judge DuBose, personally, and to the entire Court for the consequences of this lack of disclosure.

Sure, contrition is welcomed. But it’s not quite as welcome when (1) ICE had already disclosed this fact, (2) the DHS continues to post an unwarranted attack on this “activist judge,” and (3) nobody in the government appears willing to act honestly until a court forces them to do it.

The DOJ may have some plausible deniability, but that relies on everyone assuming this administration is so disjointed some fingers may not even know what other fingers are doing, which is something that needs to be addressed before we get to larger questions vis-à-vis right hands and left hands knowing what each other are up to.

And while the DOJ may have some legitimate complaints about being both understaffed and overwhelmed by immigration cases, the problem lies with Donald Trump and his cabinet full of bigoted middle managers. The administration is still hoping to eject nearly a half-million more people by the end of the year. Meanwhile, the DOJ continues to bleed talent thanks to loyalty purges and prosecutors walking off the job because they can’t stomach what they’re being commanded to do.

The solution is contempt charges. It’s not a perfect solution, but it’s a start. Judge DuBose says she’s looking at both the DOJ and DHS. If any entity should bear the brunt of this, it’s the DHS, which continues to post misleading invective targeting this judge, as well as being instrumental in the burial of information the judge should have had access to while making a release determination.

And while I understand that contempt charges just mean taxpayers will continue to bail out an administration unworthy of its tax dollars, it will at least contribute to the steady drip of adverse rulings. When enough of those pile up, it becomes a flood this administration won’t be able to contain.

05:00 AM

John Roberts Is The Driver Who Wants Credit For All The People He Didn’t Run Over [Techdirt]

John Roberts has a point: the Supreme Court—even this Supreme Court—sometimes gets things right. Maybe one could even fairly say it often gets things right. After all, just recently it produced good decisions in Case v. Montana, Cox v. Sony, and First Women’s Choice Centers v. Davenport, and arguably even Chiles v. Salazar, along with plenty more that have quietly taken their place in the annals of American jurisprudence with little fanfare but the staying power we look to the Court’s opinions for, to continue to speak well into the future about the contours of our law. These were decisions where there was significant accord among all the justices because the legal questions before them were just not that hard to resolve. Either statutory language, constitutional text, or previous precedent required certain results, and Roberts is correct: this Court is fully capable of producing them.

The issue, however, is that it doesn’t always. And when it doesn’t it is not because it’s getting tripped up by close calls where either the precedent or guiding text isn’t clear, or the facts are so unfortunate that they obscure what the law requires. The issue is that the law is as equally clear in cases where the Court produces deviant results as in the cases where the Court gets things right; it just doesn’t care to follow it consistently. If it wants a different result than what the law directs then that is the result it will find the votes for.

Roberts is of course also right that non-lawyers often can’t tell what the law indeed requires; the general public is much more likely to judge a decision based on how it affects the interests they favor. Which is why Roberts has a fair point to think the Court may be unfairly criticized in decisions like Chiles, First Women’s Choice Centers, or even 303 Creative, cases where interests many understand to be harmful to others nevertheless apparently prevailed. It is difficult, for instance, for non-lawyers to see how a win for those who discriminate is nevertheless a win for those who are discriminated against, because while a win for the former may seem like a loss for the latter in the short term, it’s the rationale being upheld by the decision that will ultimately amount to a more important gain for the vulnerable in the long term.

But one reason people are struggling to see these controversial but correct decisions as fortifications of their own future freedom is because they don’t believe that when their interests are at stake the Supreme Court will still apply the same principles this time in their favor. They fear that the Court will instead find a way to advance the interests it prefers, and it’s a fear that is eminently reasonable. The hypocrisy the justices regularly display in their jurisprudence when one of their favored interests is at stake forecloses any rational person having any faith in them as neutral jurists ably applying the law, even if it’s true that sometimes they are.

Roberts only has himself and his Court to blame for so many having that view. They have made it impossible for anyone to believe the Court will uphold principle and precedent because of how often it has not. It is happy to change the rules that we must all play by whenever it suits it, redrawing the rights we depend on as well as the ability to use the courts to shape them. And it’s not just laypeople who’ve noticed the problem but legal professionals. It’s lawyers, including members of the Supreme Court Bar who practice before them. It’s law professors, including those who have been teaching new generations of law students what were supposed to be timeless principles of American jurisprudence, which the Court so regularly and casually upends. It’s legal commentators, including those who specialize in watching this court. It is people who are experienced, if not expert—and if not at least as expert as anyone on the Court—in the American legal tradition who are calling foul. They are noticing how the Court keeps inventing arbitrary and imaginary rules, if not also facts, in order to arrive not where the law points but where the conservative justices steering the Court’s majority instead prefer to go.

It might be one thing if it were the rare case here and there in its busy docket where the Court has simply been sloppy in its jurisprudence. But the cases where the conservative majority has refused to produce jurisprudentially conservative results, instead elevating preferred outcomes over precedential reasoning, are hardly the exception; at this point it has become the apparently deliberate rule that when certain issues are on the table—partisan politics, reproductive freedom, LGBTQ+ rights, race relations, to name just a few areas where the conservative justices have particularly strong views—the Roberts Court will eagerly jump in to advance them, regardless of whether either substance or procedure—or consistency—even invites such an intervention, let alone their favored result. In fact it is fairly shocking to encounter the rare occasion where the Court has instead restrained itself—although it is certainly glad to when other interests the conservative majority is less dogmatically interested in advancing are instead on the table.

Furthermore, that its docket is so busy is entirely because the Court has abdicated any pretense of restraint, greedily helping itself to matters that historically would have been regarded as unripe for its consideration. In fact, it is a bit rich for Roberts to complain how the Supreme Court is being unfairly disrespected given the extent to which its new practice of aggressively insinuating itself in substantive adjudication of matters before there even is a lower court ruling or record ready for review has itself undercut the respect due the lower courts. What the Court has been doing, particularly with its Shadow Docket, goes far beyond the appellate review it is normally entitled to do. Not only does the Supreme Court’s incessant snatching of matters away from the lower courts prematurely arbitrarily diminish the lower courts’ power to render considered opinions on the questions before them, but it has also been having the practical effect of undermining their ability to speak with any authority on the law at all, let alone enforce it. Would only Roberts shed the same tears for the insult the lower courts have actually suffered as he does for himself as the cause of it.

Instead, and apparently without any capacity for introspection or self-reflection, he protests that the criticism increasingly directed at the Court is not also increasingly deserved. We should, he insists, be judging his Court based on what it gets right. But we do not celebrate a reckless driver for all the people he didn’t run over, or careless chef for all the diners he didn’t poison, or distracted doctor for all the patients he didn’t kill. In the American legal tradition we judge harshly those who cause injury to the public well-being, especially with behavior beyond the bounds of what law allows.

And with the Roberts Court there is so much to judge.

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02:00 AM

Trump Already Has His ‘Get Out Of Jail Free’ Card. Now He Wants A ‘Get Out Of IRS Audits’ Card [Techdirt]

In a ruling that will clearly be remembered as one of the worst in the history of the Supreme Court, two years ago, the court gave Donald Trump a get out of jail free card, which he appears to be trying to take full advantage of with all the criming in his second term. But, as always with this guy, it’s never enough.

We’ve already covered in detail the ridiculous situation in which Donald Trump acting in his supposed personal capacity, while still being the president, sued his own IRS for $10 billion, because a contractor leaked his tax returns a while back (that contractor is currently in prison for doing so). Again, there is zero indication of any actual harm. Every president — and nearly all major candidates — for the past 50 years released their tax returns to the public. Except Trump.

A decade ago he claimed that it was because he was being audited, and promised to release them once the audit was over. But he’s never done anything. And, as many people have noted, when President Richard Nixon started this tradition of releasing the president’s tax returns, he was actually being audited by the IRS, and was able to release his returns without a problem.

Either way, a contractor (not an IRS employee) leaked some of Trump’s returns to ProPublica and the NY Times, which resulted in a few stories before the news cycle moved on within days. It certainly didn’t stop Trump from being elected in 2024. And even though the returns were leaked in 2019 and 2020, Trump waited until he was back in the White House (and, in charge of the IRS and the DOJ) to file this $10 billion lawsuit.

We’ve covered the ridiculous claim that the “two sides” (there aren’t two sides) were “negotiating a settlement” and how the judge in the case has tried to call timeout, noticing that since Trump is effectively negotiating with himself there’s no cause or controversy, and thus there may be no jurisdiction for the court to hear the case. There’s still briefing going on over that, but the NY Times reports that the supposed (not really) “negotiations” have continued, with Trump apparently proposing that the settlement include the IRS dropping audits of Trump, his businesses, and his family, which would just be a shocking level of corruption from an administration that has spent its first year and a half in office trying to be as blatantly corrupt as possible.

One of the settlement options the Justice Department and White House officials are reviewing is the possibility of the I.R.S. dropping any audits of Mr. Trump, his family members or businesses, according to two of the people.

Again, even though the news cycle moved on quickly, perhaps it should return to exactly what those leaked tax returns showed: which is that at a time when Trump was publicly claiming to be rolling in cash, he basically paid effectively no income taxes and was racking up massive losses — figures that raise serious questions about his financial entanglements and what he stood to gain from his first term in office.

To have the audits of what happened during those years completely dropped — and not just for him, but for his entire family and related businesses — is another form of a get out of jail free card. Call it a “tax cheat for life” card.

To do this at a time when the public is struggling, due almost entirely to Donald Trump’s ridiculous policies — tariffs driving up inflation massively, an illegal war quagmire in Iran driving up energy prices — is even more insulting to the public that Donald Trump is supposed to be working for. The same day this story came out, Trump was asked about whether he was thinking about the impact of his out-of-control war on Americans’ financial situation, and he responded “not even a little bit” and that “I don’t think about Americans financial situation. I don’t think about anybody.”

Well, except himself, apparently.

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