Kanji of the Day: 格 [Kanji of the Day]
格
✍10
小5
status, rank, capacity, character, case (law, grammar)
カク コウ キャク ゴウ
価格 (かかく) — price
資格 (しかく) — qualifications
性格 (せいかく) — character (of a person)
合格 (ごうかく) — passing (an exam)
本格的 (ほんかくてき) — genuine
格差 (かくさ) — qualitative difference
格好 (かっこ) — shape
本格 (ほんかく) — original method
格闘ゲーム (かくとうゲーム) — fighting game (esp. one-on-one)
格闘 (かくとう) — fight
Generated with kanjioftheday by Douglas Perkins.
Kanji of the Day: 稼 [Kanji of the Day]
稼
✍15
中学
earnings, work, earn money
カ
かせ.ぐ
稼働 (かどう) — operation (of a machine)
稼ぎ (かせぎ) — earnings
稼ぐ (かせぐ) — to earn (income)
稼げる (かせげる) — to work
稼動 (かどう) — operation (of a machine)
共稼ぎ (ともかせぎ) — earning a living together
出稼ぎ (でかせぎ) — working away from home (esp. abroad)
稼働率 (かどうりつ) — operating rate
時間稼ぎ (じかんかせぎ) — gaining time
稼働中 (かどうちゅう) — working
Generated with kanjioftheday by Douglas Perkins.
Wait A Sec. We’ve Seen This Move Before… [The Status Kuo]
A lot has been written in the past days about the Iran “peace deal” and why it’s such a loser for the U.S. Today in The Big Picture, I want to expose the real playbook and fake-out Trump is running, comparing it to two others instances we have seen before. The “Art of the Deal” is actually a total scam, and I have the receipts.
If you’re already a subscriber to The Big Picture, look for my piece in your inboxes later today. If you’re not yet subscribed, click the box below and sign up. It’s free of charge to read all my content there, but if you want to support my team and me through these challenging times (Meta still isn’t allowing us to monetize our content after cutting it off suddenly…) we could sure use a few new paid supporters to stay healthy and growing and keep the publication free for those on fixed income and disability.
I’ll be back here tomorrow with my regular column of The Status Kuo.
Jay
A Texas-Sized Drumroll Please! [The Status Kuo]
Wow! After my plea went out Sunday night asking for support for U.S. Senate hopeful James Talarico of Texas, people here responded with amazing energy and generosity. So far we have raised $43,281 for the Talarico campaign! Woohoo!
Now, you know me. I’m always Asian parenting for an even better number. I would LOVE to see us cross the $50K mark. Maybe it’s doable?
If you want to be a part of the historic moment we flip Texas blue, donate any amount at the box below! (Choose OTHER if you want to give a personalized amount, whether it’s $10 or $100!) Let’s get to $50K!
You are all making me so happy. I’m grinning ear to ear at how people from all parts of the country have stepped up for our democracy at this crucial moment.
Jay
Fox News Viewership Increases Belief In False Conspiracy Theories About Immigration [Techdirt]
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.
During a Washington Nationals baseball game on May 17, 2026, three people unfurled a large banner from the upper deck of Nationals Park displaying a link to a white nationalist website.
The website, warning of the replacement of whites by people of color, called for the deportation of 100 million people from the United States.
The disturbing incident reflects the broader ascendance of the “great replacement theory,” the xenophobic conspiracy theory asserting that shadowy elites are embracing permissive immigration policies to replace native-born white Americans with immigrants of color.
Prominent Republicans, including President Donald Trump, Speaker of the House Mike Johnson and conservative podcaster Tucker Carlson, have echoed ideas associated with the great replacement theory. And conservative media outlets, such as Fox News, have disseminated them to millions of viewers.
But are the xenophobic ideas recently expressed at Nationals Park limited to a small number of extremists, or are they also endorsed by the broader public? If the latter, how do political and media elites contribute to their spread?
To answer these questions, our team has conducted several nationally representative surveys that ask Americans about their support for key tenets of the great replacement theory.
We consistently found that a substantial minority of Americans agree with the sentiment that new immigrants threaten the political, cultural and economic power of white Americans. In our latest poll of 1,000 Americans fielded in March 2026, 36% agreed with the statement: “Native-born Americans are losing their economic, political, and cultural influence in this country because of the growing population of immigrants.”
A notable number of Americans – 26% – also believed political elites are trying to “replace” the existing white population, agreeing with the statement: “There are people who secretly work to make sure immigrants will eventually replace real Americans.”
Support for these beliefs is concentrated most heavily among white Americans, Republicans, conservatives and self-identifying members of Donald Trump’s Make America Great Again movement. Indeed, more than 3 in 4 members of the MAGA movement and close to 6 in 10 Republicans agreed with the statement: “Immigrants invade and colonize the United States.”
But what explains this spread of the great replacement theory?
In our newly published, peer-reviewed study, we used nationally representative panel survey data that tracked over 500 white Americans over time to attempt to answer this question.
We found that white Americans who identified as Republican, who are conservatives and who have negative views of people from other racial backgrounds are all more likely to express support for key tenets of the great replacement theory. Moreover, we uncovered clear evidence that white Americans who watch Fox News are also more likely to agree with the conspiracy theory.
Given the popularity of Fox News, we believe this latter point deserved further investigation. As detailed in our paper, while 39% of all white Americans agree that immigrants invade and colonize the U.S., 61% of white Americans who watch Fox News agree with this view. Even when taking into account partisan identification, ideology, racial attitudes and demographic characteristics, Fox News viewership remains significantly associated with more support for the great replacement theory.
Additionally, because we tracked white Americans over time, we could observe changes in their support for the conspiracy theory in response to variations in their viewership of Fox News. Simply put, the more Fox News programming that a white American watches, the more likely they are to adopt the conspiracy theory.
Our research builds on decades of work showing that public opinion is strongly influenced by media consumption. Recent scholarship, in particular, highlights the influence of Fox News on public opinion. It shows how exposure to Fox News leads Americans to express more conservative attitudes about the COVID-19 pandemic, immigration policies and criminal justice issues.
Given the attention that Fox News hosts, elected officials and pundits dedicate to the great replacement theory, our results suggest that this coverage has indeed influenced the views of white Americans. The great replacement theory is no longer purely on the fringes of society.
In our view, this is troubling, not only because the conspiracy theory treats immigration as an existential issue — where the stakes are framed as the very preservation of one’s self and country — but also because the theory is also linked to numerous instances of political violence directed at people of color and religious minorities.
As America approaches its 250th birthday, the nation will no doubt continue to grapple with the topic of immigration, race and what it means to be an American.
While there’s plenty of room for disagreement over immigration policy, conspiracy theories make it much harder to find common ground or craft political compromises. What we’ve found is that when prominent media embrace conspiracy theorizing, increased public endorsement of conspiracies will follow.
Adam Eichen is a Ph.D. Candidate in Political Science at UMass Amherst; Jesse Rhodes is Associate Professor of Political Science at UMass Amherst, and Tatishe Nteta is Provost Professor of Political Science at UMass Amherst
The UK’s Teen Social Media Ban Is Political Theater, Not Child Safety Policy [Techdirt]
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer is not having a particularly good time of being the UK’s leader. Basically everyone thinks he’s doing a terrible job and it seems unlikely that he’ll be in the role much longer. Apparently desperate to turn the tide on being historically disliked, he’s decided to grab the most reliable life preserver in modern politics: the techlash. Over the last few weeks, everything he’s done can be summarized in a single sentence: “let’s blame the internet for everything bad.”
It started a week ago with an announcement that if internet social media companies didn’t wave a magic wand and make all sexting disappear… he would start putting tech execs in prison.
“Today I’m calling on tech companies operating in this country to introduce device controls that prevent children from sending and receiving sexually explicit images,” Starmer said in a speech at London Tech Week. “This is not an impossible challenge.”
Under the new plans, firms like Apple and Google would have to build or activate technical solutions on smartphones and tablets to detect and block nude images for children. Adults would still be able to take, share or view nude content through an age verification process.
If companies did not act within three months, the government said it would bring forward legislation to force them to do so or risk facing fines or, as a last resort, the threat of criminal liability for bosses.
This is very much the magical “nerd harder” thinking by a technologically clueless bureaucrat who thinks that societal problems can be solved by making tech companies do the impossible: stopping humans from doing stupid things.
That magical wishcasting continued this week with Starmer announcing that the UK would be following Australia’s completely failed experiment in “banning” kids from social media, by putting in place an even stricter ban of teens from even more internet services.
The U.K. plans to follow the same model for a social media ban as Australia, which last year became the first country to bar under-16s from holding social media accounts. Platforms that fail to take reasonable steps to exclude children younger than 16 could be punished with multimillion-dollar fines.
The U.K. said its ban will apply to platforms including Snapchat, TikTok, YouTube, Instagram, Facebook and X, but not YouTube Kids or messaging services like WhatsApp and Signal. Starmer stressed that enforcement action will target tech companies, not children.
The prime minister also said he will go further than Australia’s measures.
He said the government will act to prevent strangers from contacting children on gaming and livestreaming platforms. Authorities are also considering additional measures including overnight curfews and breaks in infinite scrolling for those under 18. More details are expected next month.
This is more nerd harder nonsense. Again, Australia’s ban has been a total joke, with the vast majority of kids figuring out how to get around the ban, and the ones most hurt by the ban being teens who have lost access to the communities that were most important to them. Again, every detailed study on the subject has found that the number of teenagers who have negative experiences on social media is tiny.

But the media and politicians absolutely love to blame the internet for any sort of societal problem, and it makes a wonderful scapegoat for their own policy failures.
Even Ian Russell — a prominent UK child safety activist who has spent years blaming social media for anything bad that happens to children — finds this whole thing particularly pointless. Russell, who became an activist after his daughter died by suicide (which he blames on her social media experience), has pointed out that these kinds of teen bans are the kinds of headline grabbing measures politicians love, but do nothing to actually help kids.
Starmer also promised me personally that he would implement effective measures to strengthen regulation and finally address the harm caused by social media. He has failed to keep either promise.
He also promised bereaved parents after the recent consultation on children’s social media use that he would follow the evidence and take the time to consider his response then act decisively. Instead, he has rushed out a ban.
Indeed, the evidence has long suggested that these kinds of bans actually can make things worse by isolating kids who are at most at risk and who need support. At a time when fear mongering and moral panics have cut off basically everywhere that kids can be kids with each other and without adults hovering over them at every moment, social media became that kind of digital third space. Social media didn’t become the default digital third space because it’s uniquely ‘addictive’ — it became the default because adults have spent decades overreacting and shutting down every other place kids could gather and communicate without supervision.
And that’s not even getting into the fact that pretty much all experts agree that age verification technology itself makes kids way less safe online.
But, even more to the point, the UK spent years supposedly crafting what they insisted was a very balanced policy in the Online Safety Act. We always found those claims to be ridiculous as the bill seemed bad from the very start, but if they spent all these years crafting this policy, which only just went into effect, it seems pretty ridiculous to then immediately jump to a way more extreme and less carefully thought out plan.
However, that’s what we should expect for every single nonsense bit of internet regulation that is being pushed for by a political class “for the children.” Because the bills misrepresent the real problems they do nothing to solve them. Rather than admit that their policies were misguided and a kneejerk reaction to a moral panic, politicians will always blame others: in this case the tech companies, and immediately come up with more draconian regulations that serve no purpose other than to get flailing politicians headlines for “doing something.”
Perhaps the perfect encapsulation of how stupid all this is was the question of how Bluesky would be handled (disclaimer: I am on the board of Bluesky). When the ban was first announced, the government had said it would apply to sites that meet the following description:
This would capture user-to-user platforms, whose purpose is to enable social interaction and which allow users to post material, alongside algorithms. The ban will therefore include platforms like Snapchat, TikTok, YouTube, Instagram, Facebook and X. We do not intend for messaging services like WhatsApp and Signal to be included in the social media ban.
Some right wing nonsense peddler sites absolutely lost their shit at the lack of Bluesky being mentioned, claiming that the extremely centrist Starmer was somehow creating an exemption for the supposedly “left-leaning” Bluesky. However, when asked about it, the UK government apparently said that Bluesky was covered and would be required to ban teens like those other platforms.
But does that even make sense? If the supposed problem with all these sites is that they allow for the sharing of content “alongside algorithms,” Bluesky doesn’t actually do that. There are recommendation algorithms, but they are totally in the control of users themselves. They don’t need to use them. Or they can use one of the over 100k feeds that others have created. Or they can easily create their own feeds. It’s wholly different than all the other platforms named, which focus on telling you what they think you’ll want to see (or what maximizes their own profits).
Either way, this shows how random this policy is. Bluesky either does or doesn’t meet the requirements (depending on how you read “alongside algorithms” which is already painfully vague), but as soon as there was a right wing freakout about it, the UK government said “oh, yeah, sure, them too.”
This is not thoughtful policy. This is not considered policy. This is not protecting children. This is a desperate politician with no clue how any of this works announcing nonsense to grab headlines.
Apparently The Real Reason Anthropic’s Models Are Offline: A Six-Year-Old Trump Grudge [Techdirt]
Yesterday we wrote about the Trump administration forcing Anthropic to shut down Fable 5 and Mythos 5. The short version: dumb. Today, Axios got White House officials on the record, and it turns out the real reason is even dumber than we thought. In that original piece, we had pointed out that cybersecurity expert Katie Moussouris had been able to review the jailbreak and found that it was actually a useful way for cybersecurity defenders to fix and patch cybersecurity flaws, rather than a tool to be weaponized.
As we noted in that piece, it’s entirely possible that there was some real danger involved in the jailbreak, but we doubted that the administration would be honest about it. And it sounds like we were right to be suspicious. Axios got White House officials on record with the actual reason: Anthropic had asked Moussouris to review the jailbreak, and the administration decided she was a “radical Democrat.” That’s it. That’s the reason the models are offline.
- “We never wanted this to happen. Our number one priority is innovation but our hands were tied,” the White House official said.
- The optics added fuel to the fire. Anthropic came out with a blog post dismissing the Amazon report. Then the company enlisted a cybersecurity expert viewed by the administration as a “radical Democrat,” who was then celebrated by Chris Krebs, who Trump just fired.
First off, Krebs wasn’t “just fired.” Krebs was fired (somewhat famously) all the way back in 2020, and not because he’s some sort of “radical Democrat,” but because he pointed out that the 2020 election was shown to have been quite secure. And since that ruined Trump’s big lie that he had really won the election, he had to fire Krebs (whom he had hired in the first place).
So… it appears that the Trump admin shut down the most advanced versions of Anthropic’s AI tools not because they posed a serious risk… but because Anthropic asked someone to review the supposed threat, and that person got a shout-out from someone Trump hates for once telling the truth about election cybersecurity.
As promised, this story just keeps getting stupider.
Axios, as it’s known to do, doesn’t emphasize how absolutely fucking bonkers all of this is, but does its usual horse race nonsense, suggesting that if only Anthropic had sucked up to Trump’s ego more, all of this mess could have been avoided:
“Anthropic has not done a great job at trying to speak to the administration and appreciate the ideological differences,” one source familiar with the administration’s thinking said.
- “It’s like they just speak in different languages,” the source said, adding that the company has simply not figured out how to communicate with this administration.
Oh come on. This is the presidential administration of the most powerful country on earth, and we’re supposed to accept that companies need to tiptoe around “appreciating ideological differences” or face having their entire service banned? Who in their right mind would think that’s reasonable?
The Axios piece concludes with the dumbest suggestion on this entire thing: that it’s somehow Anthropic that needs “an attitude fix.”
- Absent that, a source familiar with the administration’s thinking said it may simply come down to an attitude fix where, instead of feeling dismissed, “everyone feels safe, secure and happy.”
Anyone who thinks it’s Anthropic’s fault for not hiring a MAGA chud to lobby on their behalf is simply endorsing blatant corruption. But in this era of cowed political journalists, apparently framing capitulation to that corruption as savvy PR advice is the only thing they can think of.
In the meantime, dozens of the biggest names in cybersecurity have signed onto a “Free Fable” letter, telling the administration how incredibly counterproductive all of this is:
It is our understanding that underlying model capabilities in the original research that triggered this action:
- Were focused on determining whether a human-prompted section of code was insecure. This is a necessary capability in any model that is intended to write secure code and should not be considered an offensive capability.
- Can be replicated on GPT-5.5, Opus, Sonnet and even Chinese models like Kimi 2.7. The justification for this unprecedented action was that Fable provides a unique “uplift” of capabilities beyond other AI models, but AI has been finding bugs and generating working exploits at superhuman levels since last year.
- Anthropic is addressing the research. As security professionals, we recognize that our work does not lead to a simple end-state where a system is fully safe, and the purpose of research like this is to enable continuous improvement, not to ban the technology.
As a result, this action has taken the best models away from defenders, created market uncertainty, and risked America’s AI leadership without any real risk to justify it.
Yeah, sure, but did you see that Anthropic hired someone who got a thumbs-up from someone Trump fired six years ago! In the MAGA universe, that’s all that actually matters.
So we have dozens of the top cybersecurity professionals around saying that this administration just deliberately weakened American defenses, handing an advantage to adversaries… all because of some weird partisan freakout. And the administration’s response is that it’s Anthropic that needs an “attitude fix”?
Daily Deal: The All-in-One Super-Sized Ethical Hacking Bundle [Techdirt]
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Note: The Techdirt Deals Store is powered and curated by StackCommerce. A portion of all sales from Techdirt Deals helps support Techdirt. The products featured do not reflect endorsements by our editorial team.
FBI Raids Offices Of Ohio Voter Registration Group That Fought GOP Redistricting Efforts [Techdirt]
Just once I’d like to see this administration engage in the slightest bit of subtlety. Just once. It would be a refreshing change from literally everything it has done during this current iteration.
Sure, it’s easier to prove actions are vindictive if they’re transparently vindictive. On the other hand, too many courts and judges (which would be any number greater than “zero”) still pretend the Trump administration is acting in good faith, even when the administration makes it blatantly clear that it isn’t.
There’s another election on the horizon. And Trump/MAGA aren’t entirely sure they’ll be able to maintain their majorities, so we’re seeing a bunch of mid-term redistricting, executive orders on mail-in ballots, and pretty much anything else the Trump administration thinks might (1) skew the results in its favor or (2) allow it to engage in second round of election denialism, but with the threat of government/non-government violence behind it.
That’s why voter records were seized in Georgia. It’s belated revenge against Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensberger, who refused to “find” the 12,000 pro-Trump votes needed to swing the 2020 election in Trump’s favor.
And that’s why the FBI has just raided the offices of an Ohio group that’s instrumental in getting residents registered to vote.
Federal law enforcement officials on Thursday raided the offices of an Ohio organizing group that ran one of the state’s biggest 2024 voter registration efforts, seizing computers and other materials from the group’s Cleveland office, according to people familiar with the law enforcement action.
[…]
The warrants executed Thursday appeared to focus on the group’s 2024 voter registration efforts, according to the people familiar with the action. Prentiss Haney, a former executive director of the Ohio Organizing Collaborative who sits on the group’s board, said that around 25 FBI agents arrived at the office to seize the devices.
The DOJ has refused to comment on the raid, other than saying the usual stuff about the warrant being signed by a judge… as if that were evidence in and of itself of the raid’s lawfulness. It certainly says nothing about the perception it creates, which would be just more vindictive activity from people who should fucking know better.
Not only did the FBI raid the group’s offices, but dozens of federal officers from the FBI and HSI (Homeland Security Investigation) wandered around the state (without warrants or subpoenas) to hassle members of the organization at their homes, presumably in hopes of scoring a few warrantless searches/arrests.
Supposedly, this has something to do with registering people who aren’t allowed to vote (read: immigrants). And this did happen nearly a decade ago.
In 2017, a canvasser working for the Ohio Organizing Collaborative pleaded guilty to state charges of fraudulently registering more than three dozen people to vote.
But that has all been adjudicated and we’ve had two presidential elections since then. No further allegations have been raised about the OOC or credible accusations made about recent registration fraud.
While the DOJ may try to pretend a case it has already closed justifies another bite of this apple, the real reason for this current raid is more than likely something that isn’t actually illegal. It’s just something Trump and his administration officials don’t like:
The group registered more than 100,000 Ohioans to vote in the 2024 elections and was active in organizing against Republicans’ 2025 redistricting efforts in the state.
Now, you may recall that Donald Trump won the 2024 election. Given that, it seems incredibly stupid to claim there’s a bunch of voter fraud going on that needs to be dealt with. Even if true (which it certainly isn’t), it didn’t prevent Trump from being elected. One could even make the argument that any election fraud may have helped Trump retake the White House after being forced to take a four-year break from ruining the country.
Useful idiot/MAGA acolyte Secretary of State Frank LaRose claims he has referred “1,200 criminal cases” alleging voting fraud to the DOJ. And, once again, one has to wonder why someone might do this in a state where Trump secured 55% of the popular vote in the last election… unless all of these MAGA idiots think the GOP won’t be nearly as successful in upcoming elections. But this is the same Frank LaRose who thinks 60% of the vote should be the minimum needed to pass voter initiatives (especially ones in support of abortion rights), but has no problem with Trump’s 55% score in the last election.
Once again, this is a purely vindictive move from an administration pretty much solely defined by its vengeful activities. Even if this goes nowhere, it will have served its purpose: reminding people opposed to Trump that Trump holds the power and he’s more than willing to abuse it.
Music Labels Win Canadian Site Blocking Order Against Y2Mate, YTMP3, and Savefrom [TorrentFreak]
Stream-ripping services allow users to convert streaming audio and video into downloadable files.
That’s a useful feature for those who want offline copies of YouTube videos, but it also comes with copyright concerns.
Music labels have repeatedly taken legal action against stream rippers, both directly in court, and through site blocking actions. The latter have been effective throughout Europe, and in the UK, Brazil, Australia and elsewhere.
Canada can now be added to the growing list. A Federal Court in Ottawa, Ontario, issued the first ever stream-ripper blocking order in the country. This is also the first Canadian blocking order requested by music companies.
The case, filed last November by Sony, Universal, Warner Music and other labels, targets the unidentified “John Doe” operators of three well-known stream-ripping brands: Y2Mate, YTMP3, and SaveFrom.

After reviewing the paperwork, Justice Fothergill found that the operators infringed copyright. Among other things, the stream-rippers are liable for copyright infringement as they provide services with the ‘sole function’ to enable unauthorized reproduction, violating the Copyright Act.

The permanent injunction issued by Justice Fothergill requires the operators to stop their infringing activities. In addition, they must deactivate the domains. This includes Y2mate.ws, YTmp3.lat, Savefrom.space and Spowload.cc, but also any other infringing domains that provide similar stream-ripping services.
In addition to the permanent injunction, Justice Fothergill issued a companion blocking order. This order requires nine major Canadian ISPs, including Bell, Rogers and Teksavvy, to block the four domain names.
The order follows the same structure established by the GoldTV precedent, and the more recent Soap2Day blocking order. To implement the order, the ISPs must use DNS blocking, DNS rerouting, or equivalent technical means.
The order also requires ISPs to put up a notification for visitors of the domains, explaining why it is blocked. As with previous orders, it remains valid for two years.
While the blocked domain names use familiar brands, they are not the original sites that operated under these names. For example, Savefrom.space has nothing to do with the much more popular Savefrom.net, which has millions of visitors instead of hundreds.
The fact that the more popular site is not targeted makes sense, as Savefrom.net decided to proactively block Canadian visitors after pressure from rightsholders a few years ago.

The court order also acknowledges that the targeted domains are copycats, which gained popularity when the original sites became inaccessible.
Additionally, the order stresses that it targets “other similar platforms” operated by the defendants, which “appear” or “increase in popularity” once access to stream-rippers is blocked.
“[I]ndeed, the John Doe Respondents operate platforms that are themselves ‘copycats’ of similarly branded stream ripping services that were previously deactivated, and additional copycat platforms have already begun to appear on the Internet.”

While the current order only lists four domain names, Justice Fothergill clarifies that it can be expanded with new copycats or “similar platforms” in the future.
The platforms named in the order are not particularly high-traffic targets today. According to Similarweb, Y2mate.ws has just shy of a million worldwide visits last month, while Spowload.cc had little over 130k.
Savefrom.space did not have any meaningful traffic, with Similarweb estimating a few dozen visits per day, globally. Ytmp3.lat, meanwhile, has no registered traffic at all and appears to be unreachable.
However, the record labels might partly use the blocking framework proactively rather than reactively. Since similar platforms and brands can be targeted going forward, it can use the current order to target sites that gain traction in the future.
To do so, rightsholders can file an affidavit identifying the new domain and confirming it meets the order’s conditions. If none of the nine ISPs object within ten business days, the court can expand the blocklist without further proceedings. A full hearing is only required if an ISP pushes back.
For now, however, this blocking order kicks off with four domain names.
—
A copy of the permanent injunction is available here (pdf) and the site-blocking order, also issued by Justice Fothergill, can be found here (pdf).
From: TF, for the latest news on copyright battles, piracy and more.
The SpaceX IPO Sends Elon Musk And Trump’s Starlink Cronyism Into The Thermosphere [Techdirt]
Last week Elon Musk successfully conned America and U.S. regulators into signing off on his preposterous SpaceX IPO, which immediately generated Musk $75 billion by comically over-stating the value of SpaceX, xAI, and Starlink. Then bone-grafting the entire pile of bullshit to the U.S. economy and your retirement account under the pretense that space data centers and Mars colonization are just around the corner.
A handful of remaining useful journalists have repeatedly explained how xAI and Musk’s racist 5th place chatbot — which comprises the lion’s share of the ridiculous IPO valuation — is a gargantuan loser. Both SpaceX and xAI aren’t profitable and may never be, and the claims of Mars colonization and space data centers are unworkable bullshit designed to distract people with toddler-level critical thinking skills.
Anyway I’m sure it will go fine.
As a multi-decade telecom beat reporter I’d say I’m better positioned to talk about Starlink — the only actually profitable company in the SpaceX IPO prospectus (and that’s assuming Starlink is being honest about their financial numbers in a country too corrupt to have working financial regulators).
I’ve long noted how Starlink is great for people with no other options, but data has shown how it’s too congested to meaningfully scale. It’s also often too expensive for the sorts of Americans struggling with access. There’s also the problem with it ruining astronomical research and degrading the ozone layer. So Starlink is great for RVs or a guy with an extra cabin in the woods, but it’s not a miracle.
In terms of broadband policy, it’s supposed to be a niche solution. The kind of technology you use to fill in the gaps after you’ve pushed fiber, 5G, and fixed wireless out as far as you can into unserved areas.
But as I’ve mentioned previously, folks in the Trump administration and extended Rogan infotainment universe see Starlink as akin to magic. They think it’s just a sort of pixie dust you sprinkle over the entire of U.S. connectivity woes. There was a soggy Bulwark interview last week with Jason Calacanis that kind of reveals how deep the delusion goes in terms of what Starlink actually is:
The SpaceX IPO insists — and Calacanis dutifully believes — that it’s trivial for Starlink to jump from a niche satellite broadband solution with a little over 10 million subscribers to a massive economic powerhouse with 300-500 million subscribers. Calacanis waxes poetic about Starlink providing bandwidth to every phone in the world and surpassing even Netflix in terms of total subscribers.
But in a way that’s highly representative of modern Silicon Valley, Calacanis doesn’t actually care about how the tech works, or even if it works. Calacanis is interested in unchecked wealth accumulation, and propping up the unbridled profit-seeking of a personal friend.
The thing is: to meaningfully grow, Starlink will need to start seriously competing on price to counter competitors (like Amazon) coming into the space. But the cost of endlessly replacing LEO (low Earth orbit satellites) is immense (SpaceX says each satellite has a five year lifespan, but it’s arguably much lower). And ARPU is already dropping for Starlink as the company tries to drum up new subscribers.
Calacanis insists Starlink’s just a hop, skip, and a jump from being even bigger than Netflix. But for Starlink to even sniff those kinds of numbers, it would have to intensely compete with deeply-entrenched and politically-powerful telecom monopolies, and fiber optic broadband and 5G/6G networks less constrained by the rules of physics. They’ve also got to compete with a rising tide of community-owned fiber.
As Starlink grows its subscriber base, it’s not only going to see its ARPU drop faster, but data shows it’s going to run into new capacity constraints. That means more annoying network management practices that throttle video, limit services, and generally degrade performance. We’re already starting to see the impact of this with network slowdowns and “congestion fees” ranging upwards of $750 in some areas.
And this is, so we’re clear, a company that’s never seen fit to meaningfully invest in customer service, so as these problems grow, it’s unlikely they’ll be able to handle customer annoyance well.
Anybody claiming that Starlink is the ticket to vast riches is either lying to you or doesn’t understand how the technology actually works. Even if it can maintain its success as a viable niche connectivity option useful in rural markets and global battlezones, the high cost of maintenance means this is never going to be a major money maker. Though they clearly hope it will prove to be a semi-useful backbone for a major pump and dump scheme.
The ace Elon Musk is holding is corruption and cronyism leading to regulatory favors and massive new subsidies, but it’s not clear even that’s going to be enough.
Cecilia Kang at the New York Times has an interesting article about how the Trump FCC has been doing cartwheels trying to prop up the Musk IPO — especially as it pertains to Starlink. That has included not just abandoning any meaningful regulatory oversight of “space junk” and orbital safety, but launching dodgy investigations into companies that hold spectrum Musk wants for himself.
Elon Musk bought himself a Presidency, and it continues to pay off handsomely:
“Carr has taken multiple actions for which Musk was the prime beneficiary,” said Blair Levin, an adviser to New Street Research, an investment research firm, and a former chief of staff at the F.C.C. He added that Starlink “has gotten a huge amount from the Trump administration and Carr.”
Carr has tried to justify his favoritism of Musk by saying he’s also rubber stamped the LEO satellite policy interests of Jeff Bezos and Amazon. But as we’ve consistently established around here, nothing Carr does is driven by any sort of good faith concern about the public interest.
The funny part is that the New York Times doesn’t even mention that the Trump administration has also hijacked the 2021 infrastructure bill to redirect potentially billions of dollars to Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos (I should have an upcoming feature on this over at The Verge). This is money being directed away from affordable fiber and toward two billionaires — for networks they already planned to build.
More specifically, the Trump NTIA under former Ted Cruz staffer Arielle Roth changed the language of the $42.5 billion Broadband, Equity, Access, and Deployment (BEAD) program so that Musk and Bezos would be the prime beneficiaries. They also stripped out any language requiring that internet access built with taxpayer money had to be affordable or equitably deployed with an eye on fairness.
Musk and Calacanis types try to brush functional oversight for taxpayer spending as unnecessary “wokeness.” But the ongoing BEAD saga involves an historic hijacking of Congressionally-mandated funds by bad faith actors; so it’s curious the New York Times didn’t think it was worth mentioning in a story about how unethically cozy the Trump administration and Musk are.
Like most of the SpaceX IPO this will all be proven out over time. Long after people have had their retirements account raided, or small towns have had their infrastructure hopes hijacked. Consumers, taxpayers, and labor will, as is usually the case, be left holding the bag. And the folks that made it possible will already be off to the next big thing leaving people of conscience to clean up the mess.
The relentless math of the long tail [Seth Godin's Blog on marketing, tribes and respect]
There are more than a million podcasts. The good news is that it’s easy to start one.
The top 1% of all podcasts account for 99% of all downloads.
That means that if your goal is reach, the long tail isn’t going to help much. The short head, even in a medium as wide open as this, dominates consumption. Lots of podcasts to choose from, but most people don’t choose.
Chris Anderson didn’t call the theory the ‘short head’, even though it’s the viral hits that everyone focuses on. The long tail is where most of the content (books, videos, small businesses, political ideas) land.
The long tail may be exactly where you want to be. But don’t hang out there if you need to reach the masses. The goal of reaching the masses is rarely compatible with the math of the long tail.
Someone is going to win that lottery, but it probably won’t be us.
RFK Jr. Is Very Mad About Reports That He’s Checked Out Of Most Of HHS’ Work [Techdirt]
We should all know at this point that RFK Jr. is bad at his job as Secretary of HHS. But that simplistic statement apparently needs something of a qualifier. Instead, it appears we should say that RFK Jr. is bad at the parts of his job that he chooses to do. Because, according to a New York Times report, he doesn’t really pay all that much attention to most of HHS’ work.
The Times begins the piece by pointing out that as the Ebola crisis in Africa continues to rage on, already infecting several Americans who were traveling abroad, Kennedy has been mostly absent from briefings on the outbreak. He talks to the very people who could inform him of the goings on there, but he just doesn’t get many briefings on the topic. And that led the Times to try to find out what else Kennedy isn’t bothering to pay attention to. The answer, according to insiders at HHS, is pretty much everything that isn’t one of his pet agenda items.
Mr. Kennedy’s approach to the crisis reflects his broader management of the Department of Health and Human Services, which affects the health of 340 million Americans and provides health care to 40 percent of the population through Medicare and Medicaid.
Mr. Kennedy has shown little interest in managing the details of work in his department, according to multiple colleagues. Instead, they say, he is single-mindedly focused on his top priorities, including food recommendations and pesticide exposures, and hunting for evidence to support his long-held beliefs that vaccines are harmful.
Deeply mistrustful of career civil officials, the secretary has surrounded himself with a close circle of handpicked advisers and stacked agencies with political appointees aligned with his views. While major posts have sat vacant and a wave of veteran health experts and scientists have departed, Mr. Kennedy has remained isolated from much of the department’s top staff.
Now, all of this by itself would be some combination of interesting, damning, and explanatory of why so much negative health shit is occurring in America these days. Measles outbreaks, a spate of whooping cough surging, unfilled positions, an ACIP panel that is not allowed to operate because the courts said so, and so on. Having an HHS leader completely out to lunch while we have all of these health threats around us, all so he can go chase vaccine conspiracies, chem-trails, and snakes is not exactly a recipe for good health outcomes in the country. That he’s selfishly saving all of his time for his own personal interests may not be surprising, but it does need correcting.
Kennedy took to ExTwitter to defend himself from the report, which he claimed was very wrong, because he only misses some meetings.
“You fault me for missing a couple of monthly counselor meetings. However, I meet one-on-one with my counselors every day to decide policy and strategy. We schedule the monthly meetings to give the divisions a chance to keep each other informed about HHS-wide policies with which I’m already intimately familiar.”
RFK Jr. questioned the outlet on whether they bothered to check his public calendar, which is filled with back-to-back meetings that concern his role. He revealed that he’s actively involved in addressing issues and making final decisions, as he summarized his schedule, stating that he works until 11:00 pm. Additionally, he touched on how the outlet used quotes from those employees, some of whom he had fired in the past, further calling into question their credibility and fact-checking skills.
Now, if you want to understand just how completely, pathologically wrong and false Kennedy is willing to be, let’s zero right the hell in on that whole “did you bother to check my public calendar” retort. Why? Well, because by all accounts, Kennedy’s calendar is not in any way public. Multiple groups have filed FOIA requests that have gone unaddressed for years, or else filed lawsuits, in order to get access to his calendar. They can’t get it. The Center for Biological Diversity filed suit over this a year ago. Statnews.com has been after it via FOIA requests for over a year, as well.
But no such calendar, detailing who Kennedy meets with or how he spends his time, has been released by the administration. STAT has been asking the Department of Health and Human Services for Kennedy’s calendar for more than a year, via Freedom of Information Act requests and emails to the press office.
Since last year, STAT reporters have requested the calendars of Kennedy and his principal deputy chief of staff, Stefanie Spear, multiple times. That has included a request last February for a calendar from Kennedy’s first two weeks on the job and then a request last June for Spear’s calendars since she started in her role. Spear, whose personal office is attached to Kennedy’s, is known to attend nearly every meeting with the secretary.
The HHS press office did not respond to questions about the public calendar Kennedy described, the number of staffers currently in FOIA offices across the agency, the response times to requests compared to earlier administrations, or which outlets were being restricted by the administration.
It’s one thing to hide your calendar while you’re not fulfilling your obligations as a cabinet member. It’s an entirely different thing to do all of that and try to admonish the press for not checking a public calendar that has never been made public.
Either Kennedy thinks his calendar is public when it isn’t, which is a terrible look for him and his understanding of how his own agencies are operating, or he does know it’s not public, is lying about it, and somehow thinks that nobody will bother to point it out.
So, the open question appears to be whether RFK Jr. is a bumbling fool who isn’t in full command of HHS…or a bad and fairly dumb liar.
So, Secretary Kennedy, once you’re back from an extended lunch and nap session, which is it?
Kanji of the Day: 然 [Kanji of the Day]
然
✍12
小4
sort of thing, so, if so, in that case, well
ゼン ネン
しか しか.り しか.し さ
自然 (しぜん) — nature
当然 (とうぜん) — natural
突然 (とつぜん) — abrupt
全然 (ぜんぜん) — at all
偶然 (ぐうぜん) — coincidence
天然 (てんねん) — nature
依然として (いぜんとして) — still
不自然 (ふしぜん) — unnatural
依然 (いぜん) — still
自然体 (しぜんたい) — natural posture (esp. in judo)
Generated with kanjioftheday by Douglas Perkins.
Kanji of the Day: 駒 [Kanji of the Day]
駒
✍15
中学
pony, horse, colt
ク
こま
手駒 (てごま) — under one's control
捨て駒 (すてごま) — sacrificial pawn
駒落ち (こまおち) — handicap
持ち駒 (もちごま) — captured piece that can be reused
将棋の駒 (しょうぎのこま) — shogi piece
一駒 (ひとこま) — one scene
駒板 (こまいた) — cutting guide board for noodles
駒下駄 (こまげた) — low wooden clogs
瓢箪から駒 (ひょうたんからこま) — something appearing from a place one wouldn't expect
駒鳥 (こまどり) — Japanese robin (Larvivora akahige)
Generated with kanjioftheday by Douglas Perkins.
Judge Says Trump’s Attempt To Rewrite History At National Parks Is Illegal [Techdirt]
What’s most disturbing about Trump’s “Restoring Truth and Sanity to American History” executive order isn’t its fully-blinkered, jingoistic take on American history where America does no wrong and is almost always white right. I mean, that’s pretty awful on its own, but it’s the flip side of pretending whites do no wrong: pretending any victims of whites or any contributors of other races/colors/creeds simply don’t exist.
It’s the sort of thing dictators do. It’s the sort of thing novelists write about. It’s the sort of thing we Americans used to be able to criticize wholeheartedly because our country would never stoop so low as to rewrite history to please whoever was currently in power.
We no longer have the high ground. But we might be able to start making our way back to the top of the hill. It’s not because Trump et al are getting better or smarter or simply a bit less hateful. It will be because the courts are doing what they’re supposed to be doing: slowing this budding fascist’s roll.
A federal judge in Massachusetts has ordered the Trump administration to reinstall displays it removed from National Parks sites over the past year as part of a crackdown on diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) content and climate change information.
[…]
Judge Angel Kelley sided with the challengers on Friday, finding that the federal government’s action “sets a dangerous precedent of censorship and sanitization” while undermining the “integrity” of the National Parks system.
The decision [PDF] leads off with the ideal this nation and its national parks are supposed to embody…
Often referred to as “America’s largest classroom,” National Parks serve in that spirit by telling the stories both of those who write history and those who go unheard. The beauty of history is the unvarnished storytelling of a time gone by and the delivery of undeniable truths. The Government’s stewardship of these park sites thus carries a responsibility to present history in full rather than in favored fragments.
… before detailing the hideous destruction being perpetrated by the Trump administration:
Unfortunately, the Government has disregarded these principles. Under the guise of promoting American dignity, this Administration seeks to share a limited history by ordering the removal of all signs, displays, and interpretive exhibits at National Parks that do not align with its preferred narrative, thereby telling half-truths. In recent months, the Government has torn down exhibits in Philadelphia’s Independence National Historical Park memorializing the legacy of people enslaved by the country’s first President; removed signage detailing climate threats at Fort Sumter in South Carolina, one of the most environmentally endangered sites in the country; and wiped away descriptions of history and science at countless National Parks across the United States. Not only does this undermine the integrity of the National Parks; it sets a dangerous precedent of censorship and sanitization.
Dozens of instances of censorship and erased history are listed in the lawsuit. And it’s all the sort of thing you’d expect from this administration:
By the date of the filing of this action, Defendants had removed dozens of signs related to climate change, civil rights, and diverse communities.
[…]
In addition, Defendants have removed multiple signs involving slavery, abolition, immigration,
labor, women’s suffrage, and civil rights…
The court says the order violates the law repeatedly. Not only does it steamroll existing laws governing the National Park Service and its congressional oversight, it fails to justify its own existence with even the briefest nod to serving the public’s interest. Most damningly, the executive order ignores the facts in favor of pushing the administration’s preferred version of US history:
[T]he Order fails to rationally connect any facts to the action taken. It claims that the removals will “restore Federal sites . . . to solemn and uplifting public monuments that remind Americans of our extraordinary heritage.” However, the Order fails to explain how unearthing and displaying the historical contributions of marginalized groups detracts from celebrating “our extraordinary heritage.” Indeed, the NPS’ purpose in installing these materials in the first instance was to attract new audiences to National Parks by celebrating diverse experiences.
In other words, this executive order is basically just a Truth Social rant pretending to be a lawful directive.
[T]he Order fails to rationally connect any facts to the action taken. It claims that the removals will “restore Federal sites . . . to solemn and uplifting public monuments that remind Americans of our extraordinary heritage.” However, the Order fails to explain how unearthing and displaying the historical contributions of marginalized groups detracts from celebrating “our extraordinary heritage.” Indeed, the NPS’ purpose in installing these materials in the first instance was to attract new audiences to National Parks by celebrating diverse experiences.
The order concludes by using Trump’s self-serving rationalizations against him, which is exactly the sort of thing I’d love to see more of in future court orders rejecting this administration’s fascist advances:
Because Defendants deemed it important to strip the parks of these undeniable truths in anticipation of the 250th Anniversary of our great Nation, it is equally important that our shared history be honestly told and fully restored by the 250th Anniversary to properly honor the remarkable achievements of the United States.
LOL. Stick that in your White House lawn MMA fight, you asshat. Restore what’s been destroyed, says the court: that would be “truth and sanity,” rather than this steady stream of atrocities this administration continues to inflict on the US.
It’s the Oil, Stupid. [The Status Kuo]
A month ago, I wrote about Russia losing its war of choice in Ukraine, outmaneuvered on the battlefield by a smaller, faster and more inventive adversary fighting a fundamentally different kind of war. Since then, Ukraine has opened a second, complementary front, playing out at Russian gas stations, on highways choked with burning tanker trucks, and in the worried communiqués among Russian leaders.
Ukraine has opened a massive economic front against Russia, and it is working.
As I write this, the contrast between the two sides could not be starker. Last night, Russia launched 70 missiles and 611 drones at Ukraine, killing five rescuers in Kharkiv in an illegal “double-tap strike” by a second drone as they fought a blaze from an earlier attack. The strike wounded at least 20 people in Kyiv and set the roof of the Dormition Cathedral ablaze. The Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra, the nearly thousand-year-old Monastery of the Caves, is a UNESCO World Heritage site and the spiritual heart of Ukrainian Orthodoxy. The head of the Orthodox Church of Ukraine called the strike “a crime against humanity, against history, and against Christianity.” President Zelenskyy added, it was “one of the biggest Russian crimes against Christian culture to date.”
Ukraine isn’t attacking Russian cultural or civilian sites. Instead, it is targeting Russia’s oil industry, with devastating effectiveness.
Smoke over St. Petersburg
On the morning of June 6, delegates began arriving at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Vladimir Putin’s annual flagship event for projecting financial confidence and courting foreign investment. The setting was his home city, and the forum was, by design, a showcase for business as usual.
The smoke rolling in from the harbor suggested otherwise. Ukrainian drones had struck energy and military sites the night before the forum opened, turning the skyline into a humiliating backdrop.
It was the latest in a series of public humiliations. Just weeks earlier, fearing Ukrainian drone attacks, Putin had scaled back the annual Victory Day parade on Red Square, stripping it of its tanks, missiles and heavy weapons for the first time in nearly two decades. Putin had even reportedly sought help from Donald Trump to broker a temporary ceasefire just to protect the ceremony. Zelenskyy responded by issuing a mock presidential decree formally “permitting” the parade to take place.
At the forum, when Putin was asked directly how Russia intended to guarantee a stable economic future while Ukrainian drones were systematically destroying critical industrial facilities across the country, he offered a confession dressed as reassurance.
“These attacks, of course, do not bring anything good. Moreover, they cause us some harm,” he told the assembled delegates. Two days later, before his own military officers, he tried again: “They are certainly causing us some damage, but we are recovering quickly. They won’t be able to cause us any serious problems.”
The long arm
Ukraine’s ability to strike deep inside Russia grew over a period of roughly three years. At the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022, Ukraine was limited to strikes within 650 kilometers from its border. That was enough to reach a military airbase, but not nearly enough to threaten the vast industrial interior where Russia refines its oil, manufactures its weapons and believes itself safe.
By early 2026, however, Ukrainian forces had struck the Ukhta Oil Refinery in the Komi Republic — approximately 1,750 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. The range had grown by more than two and a half times in roughly three years.
Ukraine built its own way there, independently of Western governments whose restrictions on long-range missile use remain largely in place. Its domestically-produced drones now hit targets deep inside Russia at a pace that has roughly doubled since late 2025. In March, Ukraine surpassed Russia in the total number of long-range drone strikes launched for the first time since the 2022 invasion.
Zelenskyy described this remarkable achievement with characteristic understatement. “There was a time when dozens of Ukrainian drones striking Russia was a big deal. Now, hundreds of our long-range sanctions every day are no longer a sensation.”
The targets shifted accordingly. Early strikes by Ukraine concentrated on military airbases and ammunition depots. Today, Ukraine is sustaining a systematic assault on the infrastructure through which Russia converts its oil into money and its money into war. The targets include refineries, export terminals, connective pipelines and the tanker trucks carrying fuel to occupied territory.
“Our long-range sanctions continue,” Zelenskyy said in late May. “We are achieving the designated goals inside Russia, primarily targeting Russian oil refining and oil export capabilities.”
Russia’s oil and gas revenues fund roughly a quarter of its federal budget, down from over a third, so Zelenskyy has a word for these strikes: sanctions.
What Russia’s defenses can’t stop
Russia has spent years and enormous resources building layered air defenses. Around Moscow alone, approximately 130 air defense systems were positioned by spring 2026. The problem Ukraine identified and exploited is geometric: Russia’s airspace spans 11 time zones and is almost 30 times larger than Ukraine’s. Even a drastically expanded air defense network cannot protect the country’s many military production sites and sprawling energy infrastructure from aerial attack.
Ukraine’s answer to whatever defenses do exist has been saturation. Send enough drones at once, and some will get through.
On the night of May 15, 2026, a swarm of 99 drones struck the Ryazan Oil Refinery’s critical distillation facilities. The resulting fire was so intense that locals described “black oil rain” falling over the city. Authorities declared a municipal state of emergency and canceled school classes in surrounding districts. Two nights later, dozens of drones penetrated the airspace around Moscow and struck the city’s own refinery despite those 130 air defense positions ringing the capital.
Ukrainian forces have now struck 24 of Russia’s 33 major refineries since the invasion began, destroying up to 300 Russian air defense units in the process.
Running dry
NBC News reported the results of these attacks in Crimea:
Frustrated residents and tourists have been sharing videos of interminable lines at gas stations, while local authorities in Crimea have turned to rationing their limited supplies as they admit they are not able to meet demand.
In more than 20 regions, purchases have been capped. Russia has banned its own gasoline exports through July 31, and imposed a separate ban on jet fuel exports through late November.
Nowhere is the crisis more visible—or more symbolically loaded—than in Crimea. When Russia seized the peninsula from Ukraine in 2014, it promised residents higher salaries, better hospitals, modernized infrastructure, and the security of belonging to a great power. Twelve years later, Ukraine’s drone campaign has triggered the worst fuel crisis on the peninsula since that annexation. And per NBC News,
Tanker trucks have been left burning. And Ukrainian drones also struck the Chonhar Bridge linking the Crimean peninsula to the mainland, forcing authorities to deploy pontoon bridges with far more limited capacity.
The result is something closer to a Mad Max scenario than a posh Russian resort destination. Ayder, a resident of Simferopol, who withheld his last name out of fear of punishment, told Al Jazeera: “Every day I see cars that ran out of fuel and were left on the curb.” After a 20-liter-per-car limit was introduced, he added: “There are long lines and fistfights at gas stations.”
The Kremlin attributed the shortages to “completely unfounded” panic-buying, but spokesman Dmitry Peskov acknowledged “certain problems.” A Crimean resident who spoke anonymously cut through the official line: “The problem is that the fuel just can’t reach us.”
Begging for help from neighbors
For decades, Russia’s identity on the world stage rested on its image as a global energy superpower. But now it is begging its neighbor Kazakhstan for gasoline.
According to three sources who spoke to Reuters, Russia quietly asked Kazakhstan to hold 100,000 tons of gasoline in reserve in case its shortages worsen. Russia has also turned to China, Belarus, and other Asian allies for imports, and lifted import duties on fuel entering through the Far East. The country that once held Europe hostage over natural gas is now scouring its neighborhood for anyone willing to sell it fuel.
“We will act to take Russian oil and gas off the global market,” British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said after a Coalition of the Willing meeting with Zelenskyy in London. “We’re choking off funding for Russia’s war machine. I’m urging others to take these steps too, to go further to reduce their dependencies and incentivise third countries to stop buying these tainted resources.”
That pressure took a vivid new form on Sunday morning when Royal Marine commandos and National Crime Agency officials fast-roped from Chinook helicopters onto the deck of the Smyrtos, a sanctioned Russian “shadow fleet” tanker crossing the English Channel under a Cameroonian flag. The seizure was the first UK-led operation of its kind. “This successful operation delivers yet another blow to Russia and reminds those fuelling Putin’s war in Ukraine that we will not let them hide,” Starmer declared.
1917?
Ukraine’s campaign against Russia’s oil industry has registered inside Russia’s own political establishment. In April, Gennady Zyuganov, the longtime leader of Russia’s Communist Party, addressed the lower house of parliament and delivered a stark message. “If you do not urgently adopt financial, economic, and other measures, by autumn a repeat of what happened in 1917 awaits us,” he told his colleagues. “We don’t have the right to repeat that. Let’s take some decisions.”
Zyuganov has been a fixture of Russian political life since the Soviet collapse. He is a reliable presence within the system, tolerated precisely because he poses no real threat to it. As an insider, Zyuganov has read the same numbers Putin has been trying to explain away and is now raising an urgent alarm.
Meanwhile, the war is not going well. Russian forces suffered a net loss of territory in April for the first time since 2024. Putin himself revealed that Russia’s GDP contracted in the first two months of the year.
“You start disliking him”
In response to the drone strikes, Russia has imposed rolling mobile internet shutdowns across major cities, including Moscow and St. Petersburg, and cracked down on Telegram and VPNs. “The Kremlin sees control over information as a tool of regime survival,” Ryhor Nizhnikau, a Russia senior research fellow at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs, told the Kyiv Independent.
The question experts are now asking is whether the accumulated weight of fuel lines, internet blackouts, and battlefield stagnation is beginning to shift Russian public opinion. Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of the political analysis firm R.Politik and a senior fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, told CNN in April that the combination of economic hardship and drone strikes penetrating Russian cities felt like “something more resembling a pivotal moment.”
Her colleague Ekaterina Schulmann, a nonresident scholar at the same institution, put it more precisely. Speaking of Putin, Schulmann remarked, “The president is the status quo. If you like it, then you approve of him. If you start disliking the status quo, then you start disliking him as well.”
Pluralistic: AI and amateurism (15 Jun 2026) [Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow]
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Top Sources:
None
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Over the weekend, I did an interview about my forthcoming book The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI (a book about being a better AI critic), and the interviewer said she was surprised that I wasn't an AI booster, based on my demographics and work history:
https://us.macmillan.com/books/9780374621568/thereversecentaursguidetolifeafterai/
I could see where she was coming from. I encountered computers in the mid-seventies, as a small child. My first computer was a CARDIAC, a working, Turing-complete, mechanical computer made entirely of cardboard, that I spent endless hours with:
https://www.instructables.com/CARDIAC-CARDboard-Illustrative-Aid-to-Computation-/
Then I graduated to a teletype terminal and acoustic coupler connected to a minicomputer at the University of Toronto. My mom, a kindergarten teacher, used to smuggle home 1,000' rolls of paper towel from the kids' bathroom. I'd get 1,000' feet of computing up one side, then another 1,000' down the other side, then I'd carefully re-roll the paper towel so she could put it back in the bathroom for the kids to dry their hands on.
After that, I got an Apple ][+ in 1979, and shortly thereafter acquired a modem, and that was it: I was hooked for life. I became an amateur programmer, then a professional programmer. I hosted forums on dial-up BBSes where I distributed software and offered support to strangers who wanted to connect their computers to the internet. I got a job as a gopher developer, then a web developer, then a CIO-for-hire, helping wire up small businesses and connect them to the net. Eventually, I co-founded a free/open source software startup, before transitioning to 25 years as a digital rights activist with the Electronic Frontier Foundation. And for most of that time, I was energetically writing science fiction, eventually becoming associated with a school sometimes called "post-cyberpunk":
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rewired:_The_Post-Cyberpunk_Anthology
The force that energized all this work was a dialectical one, the contradiction that powered cyberpunk literature itself. For all that cyberpunk was undeniably enamored with the coolness and combustibility of new technology, it was also terrified of how technology could be a force for oppression, surveillance and control. As William Gibson says, "cyberpunk was a warning, not a suggestion."
Gibson's more famous quote, of course, is "the street finds its own use for things." In Gibson's novels (and in my own life in technology) all the most interesting things happen when users of technology (often without formal training or credentials) find ways to adapt the technology they use to suit their needs:
https://pluralistic.net/2026/03/17/technopolitics/#original-sin
This is why I remain an ardent fan of Hypercard, Scratch and other meta-tools that are designed to allow non-programmers to write software that exactly conforms to their desires. Whatever the apps produced by these tools lack in sophistication and efficiency is more than offset by the fact that they give everyday people the power to directly control the tools they rely upon.
If "epistemic humility" means anything, it means acknowledging that no amount of "requirements gathering" can capture the needs of people totally unlike yourself as faithfully as those users can capture their own needs. Giving people the tools to produce their own software is always going to make tools – vernacular, idiosyncratic, homespun – that are more suited to their own hands and minds than anything a technologist working on their behalf could make.
The ancient dictum of "nothing about us without us" – born in 16th century Poland and taken up by the modern disability rights movement – asserts the right of people to control their own living conditions, and also the unique capacity of people to understand their own needs. You know what's even better than being consulted on the design of the technology you use? Having direct control over that technology!
This is why I was so suspicious of the iPad. The iPad's much-lauded "ease of use" was entirely about how easy it was to use an iPad to consume technology. But the iPad remains the single most user-innovation-hostile technology in modern history, a device designed to make it impossible to produce technology without permission from a remorseless multinational corporation. This is cyberpunk as a demand, not a warning:
https://memex.craphound.com/2010/04/01/why-i-wont-buy-an-ipad-and-think-you-shouldnt-either/
The technology I've championed all my life is technology that gives more control to its users. One of my immutable precepts is that people who are different from me know things I can't know, and the only way I can get the benefit of their unique knowledge and perspective is if they are free to make and share things that matter to them. As Dan Gillmor said, back when he was inventing the study of citizen journalism, "My readers know more than I do":
https://www.oreilly.com/openbook/wemedia/book/ch00.pdf
And while I am broadly very skeptical of AI, and deeply alarmed by the proliferation of "vibe coded" software in production environments, vibe coding for personal projects is a useful and exciting addition to the lineage of tools that let computer users decide how their computers will work. For people making personal projects, vibe coding extends the power of shell scripting, cron jobs, Applescript, and other desktop automation tools to a wider audience.
One of the journalists I spoke to last week about my book described how he had vibe coded an app that showed him an alert every time a plane flew over his house, giving the tail number and other details of the flight. This is information that I have no need for and no interest in, and that I'm therefore excited to learn about, because its very existence affirms that the world is full of people who are delightfully, irreducibly, amazingly different from me, and moreover, that their unique needs can be directly met using their imaginations and their personal computers.
I recently sat down with my colleague Naomi Novik, a brilliant author who also co-founded Archive of Our Own. Naomi demoed her followup to AO3 for me: Wreccer, a system to help you find small groups of people with taste similar to your own, in order to facilitate media recommendations within that group – a kind of personal, relationship-driven alternative to massive, centralized, monolithic algorithmic recommendation systems:
Naomi told me that Wreccer was being built using the same design ethos that the original Twitter embraced. When Twitter launched, it was an API first, and the official Twitter front end was built on that API – but anyone could build their own front end for Twitter that worked in the way they wanted it to. Now, the word "anyone" is doing a lot of work in that sentence, because most people don't even know what an API is, and of the people who do, most of them were not capable of writing their own software front end for Twitter.
But Wreccer is being designed for the age of vibe coding, and the API will really allow anyone who uses the service to design their own interface to the system, one that elevates and centers the features they find useful and tucks away the ones they're not interested in. Your personal, custom front end could also bring in other data-sources – pulling in your Mastodon messages, for example, or even showing you an alert with the tail-number of any plane flying over your home.
This is the part of vibe coding that I'm quite excited about, but it's not the part the industry focuses on. Instead of hearing about how personal, homemade software utilities can be an end unto themselves, we hear about vibe coded projects as prototypes for commercial production code. We hear about clueless bosses vibe coding software products and services that run fine for one user on a siloed desktop computer, and then demanding to know why it takes 50 engineers a year to make the same thing work for millions of users on the public internet. We hear about people who vibe code and submit patches to free/open-source software projects with millions of users, overwhelming project maintainers with slop code that is riddled with security vulnerabilities.
Of course, there's an obvious reason why the industry wants to focus on the potential for vibe coded software to replace production code. The AI bubble has burned up $1.4t to date, while bringing in mere tens of billions of dollars per year, even as its unit economics grow steadily worse:
To keep the bubble inflated, AI hucksters must promise massive economic returns to the technology. They want investors to believe that vibe code is about to replace working programmers, who are skilled, high-waged, high-demand workers. Their pitch is that for every million dollars' worth of programmers that an AI salesman and a boss conspire to fire, half a million dollars will go to the AI company whose bots shit out that vibe code.
That's par for the course with the AI bubble, whose focus is entirely on how AI can centralize, control and homogenize our lives. Whereas early desktop publishing, web publishing and social media gave us a glorious higgledy-piggledy of chaotic, weird and transgressive hobbyist media and retina-searing designs, AI art and design are instantly recognizable at a thousand yards, and it all looks the same, boring, and washed:
https://pluralistic.net/2024/07/20/ransom-note-force-field/#antilibraries
AI companies have released open weight/open source models that can run on your own computer, but these are treated as side-shows and toys and demos. The real action, we're told, is in "frontier models," which is industry-speak for "a piece of software whose running costs exceed the GDP of most countries":
https://pluralistic.net/2026/02/19/now-we-are-six/#stock-buyback
Perhaps this is why the dynamics of AI are so different from the early dynamics of the web. Early web users were workers, who demanded that their bosses allow them to use the web and so devolve more power to people doing their jobs. By contrast, today's most ardent AI boosters are bosses, who threaten workers who don't use AI enough in the course of their duties:
https://pluralistic.net/2026/05/26/the-ai-will-continue/#until-morale-improves
Where we do see idiosyncrasy emerging from AI usage, it's often terrible. AI can help you create a folie-a-un in which you and a chatbot team up to reinforce your delusions and drive you deeper into a world of dangerous mirage:
https://pluralistic.net/2026/06/03/mission-space/#gsd
There's a (false) story that's told about people who championed the early internet: that we were blithely certain that technology could only be a force for good, and negligently disinterested in the possibility that technology could control, extract and harm. That's demonstrably untrue: recall cyberpunk's dualism of "the street finds its own use for things" and "cyberpunk is a warning, not a suggestion."
More true is to say that early internet champions were alive to the importance of the internet, and therefore both excited about the possibilities of the internet to deliver a world of connection, idiosyncrasy, love and solidarity; and about the danger of the internet as a dystopian system of surveillance and manipulation:
https://pluralistic.net/2025/02/13/digital-rights/#are-human-rights
History isn't finished. Long after the AI bubble pops, there will be local models and people vibe coding homemade software that respond directly to their needs. The stuff we make on our own computers, for ourselves, is deplatformed from its inception. It's part of the life we can build in technology's "shadowy corners" that we used to just call "technology." The fact that this stuff is utterly unsuited to be production code makes it inherently unmonetizable. It's how the street finds its own use for things:
https://pluralistic.net/2026/02/23/goodharts-lawbreaker/#no-metrics-no-targets

Shame On You https://www.change.org/p/an-open-letter-to-the-american-diabetes-association-shame-on-you
Keycap Quarry https://keycapquarry.com/shop/
The Threat of Big Insurance https://prospect.org/2026/06/11/threat-of-big-insurance-lobbying-congress-donations/
End Citizens United’s Tiffany Muller on fighting big money in politics https://www.citationneeded.news/end-citizens-uniteds-tiffany-muller-on-fighting-big-money-in-politics/
#25yrsago Disney characters win right to clean underwear https://web.archive.org/web/20010707023727/https://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/news/archive/2001/06/07/state1339EDT0171.DTL
#20yrsago Lampooning the American dismissal of Gitmo suicides https://fafblog.blogspot.com/2006/06/610-changed-everything-run-for-your.html
#20yrsago LA’s South Central Farm under police siege right now https://web.archive.org/web/20060616085732/http://www.southcentralfarmers.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=160&Itemid=2
#15yrsago Transparent Pontiac for sale https://web.archive.org/web/20110610113919/http://blog.hemmings.com/index.php/2011/06/07/the-tin-indian-that-wasnt-rm-to-offer-see-through-pontiac/
#15yrsago Pulp Fiction edited down to just the cussing https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5PcAQbhnGNs
#15yrsago New York State to pet cemeteries: no pet owners’ ashes allowed https://web.archive.org/web/20110614133359/https://www.foxnews.com/us/2011/06/11/new-york-tells-pet-cemeteries-to-stop-taking-in-humans/#ixzz1PAZoGS6l
#15yrsago A dog with persistence-of-vision LEDs in her shirt writes my novel Makers in the park at night https://web.archive.org/web/20110618011346/https://i.document.m05.de/?p=970
#15yrsago Head of UN copyright agency says fair use is a “negative agenda,” wants to get rid of discussions on rights for blind people and go back to giving privileges to giant companies https://memex.craphound.com/2011/06/14/head-of-un-copyright-agency-says-fair-use-is-a-negative-agenda-wants-to-get-rid-of-discussions-on-rights-for-blind-people-and-go-back-to-giving-privileges-to-giant-companies/
#10yrsago Air Force loses access to database tracking fraud investigations to 2004 https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2016/06/database-corruption-erases-100000-air-force-investigation-records/
#10yrsago Peter Thiel’s lawyer threatens Gawker for talking about Donald Trump’s “hair” https://web.archive.org/web/20160615022004/https://gawker.com/now-peter-thiels-lawyer-wants-to-silence-reporting-on-t-1781918385
#10yrsago Samantha Bee on Orlando shooting: angry and uncompromising https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t88X1pYQu-I
#10yrsago Goldman Sachs bribed Libyan officials with sex workers, private jet rides, then lost all their money https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jun/13/goldman-sachs-hired-prostitutes-to-win-libyan-business-court-told
#10yrsago Net Neutrality Wins: Federal Court Upholds FCC Open Internet Rules https://www.techdirt.com/2016/06/14/cable-industry-proclaims-more-competition-hurts-consumers-damages-economic-efficiency/
#10yrsago Microsoft will buy Linkedin for $26.2B https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2016/06/microsoft-will-acquire-linkedin-for-18-5b/
#10yrsago Lin-Manuel Miranda’s Tony Awards sonnet for the Orlando shooting victims https://www.rollingstone.com/tv-movies/tv-movie-news/see-lin-manuel-mirandas-stirring-tribute-to-orlando-victims-103131/
#10yrsago China’s online astroturf is mostly produced by government workers as “extra duty” https://web.archive.org/web/20160613194153/http://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2016/06/red-astroturf-chinese-government-makes-millions-of-fake-social-media-posts/
#10yrsago Rio: your quadrennial reminder that the Olympics colonize host-states with Orwellian surveillance and human rights abuses https://web.archive.org/web/20160614122124/https://motherboard.vice.com/read/the-olympics-are-turning-rio-into-a-military-state
#5yrsago A Monopoly Isn’t the Same as Legitimate Greatness https://pluralistic.net/2021/06/13/a-monopoly-isnt-the-same-as-legitimate-greatness/

LA: The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI with Brian Merchant (Skylight Books), Jun 19
https://www.skylightbooks.com/event/skylight-cory-doctorow-presents-reverse-centaurs-guide-life-after-ai-w-brian-merchant
Menlo Park: The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI with Angie Coiro (Kepler's), Jun 21
https://www.keplers.org/upcoming-events-internal/cory-doctorow-2026
Toronto: The Sovereignty Debate (IAB Canada's State of the Nation), Jun 23
https://iabcanada.com/state-of-the-nation-2026
Toronto: The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI (Osler Records/Type Books), Jun 23
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/cory-doctorow-book-launch-and-talk-tickets-1991501299998
NYC: The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI with Jonathan Coulton (The Strand), Jun 24
https://www.strandbooks.com/cory-doctorow-the-reverse-centaur-s-guide-to-life-after-ai.html
Philadelphia: The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI with David Williams (Fitler Club/Philadelphia Citizen), Jun 25
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/cory-doctorow-book-event-tickets-1990110326559
Chicago: The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI with Rick Perlstein (Exile in Bookville), Jun 26
https://exileinbookville.com/events/50628
Edinburgh International Book Festival with Jimmy Wales, Aug 17
https://www.edbookfest.co.uk/events/the-front-list-cory-doctorow-and-jimmy-wales
South Bend: An Evening With Cory Doctorow (Notre Dame), Oct 6
https://franco.nd.edu/events/2026/10/06/an-evening-with-cory-doctorow/
Cory Doctorow's digital jail-break (DW In Focus)
https://www.dw.com/en/cory-doctorows-digital-jail-break/audio-77414035
Why the Internet Got Worse and What to Do About It (Jim Rutt) (RIP)
https://www.jimruttshow.com/cory-doctorow-3/
On Enshittification – and what can be done about it (Re:publica)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KhINQgPMVSI
EFFecting Change: How to Disenshittify the Internet (EFF, with Wendy Liu)
https://archive.org/details/effecting-change-enshittification
"Enshittification: Why Everything Suddenly Got Worse and What to Do About It," Farrar, Straus, Giroux, October 7 2025
https://us.macmillan.com/books/9780374619329/enshittification/
"Picks and Shovels": a sequel to "Red Team Blues," about the heroic era of the PC, Tor Books (US), Head of Zeus (UK), February 2025 (https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250865908/picksandshovels).
"The Bezzle": a sequel to "Red Team Blues," about prison-tech and other grifts, Tor Books (US), Head of Zeus (UK), February 2024 (thebezzle.org).
"The Lost Cause:" a solarpunk novel of hope in the climate emergency, Tor Books (US), Head of Zeus (UK), November 2023 (http://lost-cause.org).
"The Internet Con": A nonfiction book about interoperability and Big Tech (Verso) September 2023 (http://seizethemeansofcomputation.org). Signed copies at Book Soup (https://www.booksoup.com/book/9781804291245).
"Red Team Blues": "A grabby, compulsive thriller that will leave you knowing more about how the world works than you did before." Tor Books http://redteamblues.com.
"Chokepoint Capitalism: How to Beat Big Tech, Tame Big Content, and Get Artists Paid, with Rebecca Giblin", on how to unrig the markets for creative labor, Beacon Press/Scribe 2022 https://chokepointcapitalism.com
"Enshittification, Why Everything Suddenly Got Worse and What to Do About It" (the graphic novel), Firstsecond, 2026
"The Post-American Internet," a geopolitical sequel of sorts to Enshittification, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2027
"Unauthorized Bread": a middle-grades graphic novel adapted from my novella about refugees, toasters and DRM, FirstSecond, April 20, 2027
"The Memex Method," Farrar, Straus, Giroux, 2027
Today's top sources:
Currently writing: "The Post-American Internet," a sequel to "Enshittification," about the better world the rest of us get to have now that Trump has torched America. Third draft completed. Submitted to editor.
"The Post-American Internet," a short book about internet policy in the age of Trumpism. PLANNING.
A Little Brother short story about DIY insulin PLANNING

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Trump DOJ Friday News Dumps Its Approval Of The Job-Killing Paramount, Warner Bros Merger [Techdirt]
The Trump “Department of Justice’s” “antitrust division” dumped its unsurprising approval of the terrible Paramount Warner Brothers merger late on Friday in the hopes people wouldn’t notice it.
As we’ve noted the $111 billion megadeal is a historically harmful mess. Backed by billions in Saudi and Chinese cash (raising all sorts of foreign media influence concerns), the giant deal will saddle the company with so much debt that mass layoffs, consumer price hikes, and quality erosion from corner cutting are guaranteed. This happens with every major media merger, but especially when Warner Bros is involved.
And that’s before you get to the problems with Larry Ellison and his Bari Weiss brigades trying to destroy what’s left of already soggy U.S. corporate journalism and replace it with right wing, oligarch-friendly agitprop.
Regardless, you’ll be comforted to know that the Trump Justice Department looked at the deal closely and found that not only does it not hurt competition, it’s going to improve competition:
“The evidence reviewed and carefully analyzed by the Division indicates that, post-merger, competition in SVOD is not likely to be harmed. To the contrary, the combined firm is likely to increase competition by offering consumers a more robust competitive alternative to the larger SVOD offerings.”
That is, again, not how any of this works.
The massive debt created by these deals always results in mass layoffs, higher consumer prices, and lower quality product due to corner cutting. It’s not debatable. Arguing against this is like trying to have a fist fight with a running river. You just have to look back at, well, every single major media consolidation effort in the last fifty years. Which the DOJ didn’t because, well, they didn’t care.
You’ll still have major competitors to Paramount like Netflix, Comcast/NBC, Apple, and Disney, but in a country obsessed with consolidation that no longer has functional regulators, there’s really nothing stopping any limit of predatory behaviors — and additional consolidation — moving forward. There’s ongoing pretense that our consumer and labor protections still function. They don’t.
The “funny” part is the Trump DOJ even acknowledges that the history of Warner Brothers has been pockmarked by all manner of terrible competition-eroding consolidation. They just pinky swear that this time will somehow be different. Based on… nothing:
“Warner Bros. has been a repeated acquisition target in the media and entertainment industry. It is thus familiar to the Division from prior investigations and enforcement actions, including AOL/TimeWarner (2001), AT&T/TimeWarner (2018), and WarnerBros./Discovery (2022). The legacy of these transactions illustrates the challenges that arise when the commercial rationale for a deal lacks clear alignment with competitive incentives of the acquiring firm or the competitive evolution of the marketplace. In technology-driven industries, the disruptors of the recent past may quickly become the entrenched monopolists of the present day. It is with this historical experience and present enforcement sensitivity to the contestability of dynamic markets that the Division conducted a thorough investigation of the proposed transaction to assess whether the proposed transaction presented any harm to competition. The extensive investigatory record reviewed by the Division suggests that the impact of the transaction will be to increase competition across the media and entertainment ecosystem, with benefits for American consumers and workers.”
Fun fact: Paramount’s top lawyer is Makan Delrahim, Trump’s “DOJ enforcer” from the first administration. Delrahim personally worked to make sure Sprint could merge with T-Mobile during the first term. They promised that deal would result in untold synergies and new competition. Instead, 8,000+ people lost their jobs and U.S. wireless carriers immediately stopped competing on price. It’s been memory holed.
As far as the inevitable layoffs that always result from these deals (recall that AT&T’s merger with Warner Brothers and DirecTV resulted in 50,000 lost jobs), the DOJ simply declares that won’t be happening this time. Why? Because Larry and David Ellison said they’ll keep pumping out brick-and-mortar movies at the same or greater pace (they won’t):
“While taking seriously the potential impact of the proposed transaction on the creative community and domestic labor groups, the substantial evidence does not suggest a likelihood of reduction in output. That is because the demand for creative workers and labor is correlated with the Parties’ incentives to maintain or expand output. Thus, the expressed labor concerns do not raise actionable antitrust concerns.”
In three years, after the resulting company has fired 10,000+ employees, consumers have been price gouged to reduce debt, and the resulting flailing mess is acquired for half (or less) of the price, all the folks involved with this will have moved on to hyping other terrible ventures. Nobody will own any of this or engage in a single moment of meaningful reflection. That’s how this always works.
And the corporate press (and pundits like Matt Stoller) will still try to tell you that Republicans are to be taken seriously on antitrust reform.
Granted DOJ approval of a terrible merger isn’t the final word. State AGs have hinted repeatedly at a looming collaborative antitrust lawsuit that, at a minimum, is likely to drag any integration out considerably. If that lines up with a potential AI bubble pop and economic reverberations, that massive debt load from gobbling up CBS/Paramount and Warner Bros will be an even larger albatross.
Daily Deal: The Lifetime Learner Bundle [Techdirt]
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The VCs Who Screamed That Biden Would Kill Powerful AI Models Seem Quite Chill About Trump Actually Doing It [Techdirt]
Late Friday, Anthropic shut down access to its just-released Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models after the Trump administration slapped export controls on them — treating cutting-edge AI, in other words, like weapons. The trigger, it turns out, was a jailbreak. And the entity that tipped off the government? Amazon — one of Anthropic’s biggest investors.
Considering how much Trump-supporting VC bros in Silicon Valley insisted that the Biden admin wanted to shut down powerful AI models during the last administration, it’s quite something to see them cheering on the Trump admin actually doing exactly that.
As you’ll recall, a couple months ago, Anthropic talked about its “Mythos-class” LLM models with (depending on your perspective) the greatest marketing hype ever or an appropriate level of caution for the risks with the model (more likely: somewhere in between). When they first talked about it, they said that it was quite good at finding cybersecurity vulnerabilities, and so initially it was only available to a set group of organizations that might find it useful to patch certain holes. From what I’ve heard from people in the industry, the tool is good and useful, but it’s not magical.
Then, a little over a week ago, they rolled out the latest version of Mythos, which was still limited to pre-vetted companies, but then they offered up “Fable 5” as a tool for anyone else. This was described as “Mythos-class” but with extra guardrails, including that if it thought you might do something bad with Fable, it would drop you down to its previous best-in-class Opus 4.8 model. Fable was also twice as expensive on a per-token basis, but apparently much more efficient, so the actual pricing difference was likely less big. And some of the early tests with Fable 5 showed it to be way more impressive at certain coding tasks. There were also some oddities, like Fable only being available in the commercial subscription plans for a couple weeks before switching over to only (way more expensive) API usage.
Still, there were some concerns about the guardrails, and how frequently they were kicking people out to Opus on perfectly normal queries. There were other concerns about its changed data retention policies for large enterprises. Previously, companies could negotiate a zero retention policy with Anthropic and guarantee that no data was being held by the company. But with the latest models, they required you to let them hold onto any data shared with the models for 30 days. Anthropic insisted this was solely for safety reviews, in case something went wrong, they could track down the reasons why, but it scared away some large enterprises that could risk their own data or source code being retained anywhere else.
Either way, all that went silent late on Friday (amusingly, in the middle of me messing around with Fable) when Anthropic announced that the US government had made them shut down access to the models with zero due process. Technically, the US government claimed that for “national security” reasons, no foreign national could be allowed to have access to the models (including Anthropic’s own foreign national employees), and since Anthropic doesn’t know which of its customers are foreign nationals, they had to shut down all access.
There are a number of different threads to pull on from previous events that are all worth mentioning here as useful background:
So all of those things came together to lead to this effective ban.
Soon after it was announced, it was revealed that Amazon (one of Anthropic’s biggest investors) had actually alerted the US government to the supposed “bug” that gave the administration the ammo it needed to shut down the model.
Anthropic said it thinks the government became aware of a method of so-called jailbreaking before Friday’s action. “We reviewed a demonstration of this specific technique being used to identify a small number of previously known, minor vulnerabilities. These vulnerabilities all appear relatively simple, and we have found that other publicly available models are able to discover them as well without requiring a bypass,” the company said.
The jailbreak research in question was done by researchers at Amazon, who used a series of prompts to get Anthropic’s model to provide them with information about a handful of security vulnerabilities, said Katie Moussouris, chief executive with the cybersecurity firm Luta Security. Anthropic shared a copy of the report with her, she said.
Now, if you’re thinking “a jailbreak sounds dangerous for this tech” then, sure… except that the reporting says the jailbreak was useful in a different way:
But the information provided by the model in this report would be of more use to people defending computer networks than to those attacking them, she said.
“Who at the White House evaluated this and thought it was a threat?” she said. “It’s a complete overreaction because this is exactly the kind of prompting that defenders would do.”
That almost makes it sound like somebody (NSA?) didn’t want people using this to protect themselves — rather than being worried about malicious uses. It sure wouldn’t be the first time the NSA compromised everyone’s security to make sure they could keep spying on people.
None of this is good or reasonable tech policy — or industrial policy, or any other kind of policy. It’s all just power-seeking Calvinball. Apparently the US government can just scream “national security” with no evidence or explanation and shut down an entire model. That’s ripe for abuse — especially with this administration.
When I wrote recently about how authoritarians seek to grab control over centralized technology choke points, this is the kind of thing I was thinking of, though I didn’t expect them to be so ham-fisted about it.
It’s tempting to read this purely as retaliation by the Trump admin against Anthropic, a company they’re already mad at and already illegally trying to punish. But all of these other issues play into this as well, including Anthropic’s constant refrain of “we’re so dangerous, please regulate us.”
You kept asking for it. Now you’ve got it.
And where are all those Silicon Valley VCs who insisted everyone had to back Trump because Biden was going to seize and shut down LLMs? I looked on X at the feeds of the various of Trump’s biggest supporters who had talked shit about Biden shutting down AI innovation and… of course they’re still supporting Trump. David Sacks came out with a long tweet saying that the administration was totally justified in shutting down Fable because of “safety” saying that Anthropic had “prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety.”
Can you imagine how Sacks would have responded if the Biden admin had demanded an AI company shut down a model because of “safety?” Oh, you don’t have to imagine, because he was pretty clear about how he felt about the Biden EO. He claimed it “hamstrung American AI companies” even though nothing in the Biden admin plans would have ever gotten so far as what the Trump admin did on Friday, shutting down an entire model. All it did was ask companies to voluntarily pre-submit frontier models for an analysis by experts who might make some suggestions on how to keep them secure.
And that was so horrific it was worth effectively blowing up the American democratic order. Yet now Trump goes way further in literally shutting down an LLM and Sacks says it’s all good because it’s for “safety.”
These are not serious people. This is not a serious administration.
They are just power hungry jackasses with poor impulse control.
Here’s what we know: the jailbreak was defensive in nature, according to the cybersecurity expert who reviewed the actual report. Also, the administration offered no public evidence, no due process, and no coherent explanation for why this particular jailbreak required shutting down access for everyone, including Anthropic’s own employees. We also know that this administration pulls out “national security” claims quite frequently that later turn out to be bogus, and thus we shouldn’t trust them without more evidence.
Maybe there’s classified information that changes the picture. But this administration has burned any benefit of the doubt it might have had. What we’re left with is a government that learned it can yell “national security” and make technology disappear — and a roster of Silicon Valley allies who spent years screaming about regulatory overreach from the last administration have suddenly found a new song to sing.
Flock Is The New Tool Of Choice For Cops Who Love Stalking Their Exes [Techdirt]
Cops are human beings. Despite constantly pretending they’re on a higher plane (see also: Thin Blue Line, etc.), they’re just as fallible as anyone else. Especially now.
This occupation is self-selecting. Righting wrongs is rarely the main draw. It’s almost always the immense of amount of power that comes coupled with nearly zero accountability. There have always been more Nottingham Sheriff wannabes in law enforcement than there have been Frank Serpicos.
Which is why we should not be giving them more powerful tech tools with each passing year. The last thing most officers need is another avenue for the casual abuse of the general public… which really means “women.”
Since always, police have been abusing their access to databases, surveillance tech, and government records to do everything from stalk their exes to harass critics and protesters. And yet, we keep giving cops tools that grease the wheels of misconduct.
As the Institute for Justice detailed in a report it released last month, cops are using now-ubiquitous automatic license plate readers (ALPR) to stalk ex-wives and ex-girlfriends when not using them to do other things like track women seeking abortions or seek out potential paramours they can stalk later following the inevitable break-up.
Flock is the latest, greatest player in the ALPR market. Consequently, the company that’s already engaged in a ton of unforced errors is now the name that comes up most when cops are being arrested and prosecuted for using this tech to further cement their reputations as the USA’s foremost purveyors of domestic violence.
So, what does this mean in practical terms? Well, it means this, which is super-disturbing and only discusses a cop who was caught using Flock tech to stalk his ex-girlfriend, as detailed by Jason Koebler at 404 Media:
For months during the summer of 2024, Jarmarus Brown, an Orange City, Florida police officer, ran his ex-girlfriend’s license plate through the Flock automated license plate reader (ALPR) system lookup database at least 69 times. He searched for the license plate belonging to her mom at least 24 times, and searched for the license plate belonging to her dad at least 15 times. Brown’s searches were happening so often, and were so commonplace, that even one of his colleagues noticed Brown researching his ex-girlfriend’s whereabouts while the law enforcement officers sat in their police cruisers, according to court records obtained by 404 Media.
[…]
On another occasion, Brown told [fellow officer Sharich] King that he believed his ex was lying about her whereabouts. She “told Jarmarus she was at her house with her mother, but Jarmarus knew for a fact she was not. When questioned by Officer King as to how he knew for a fact she was lying, Jarmarus said he used the Flock system and saw that her vehicle was elsewhere,” the affidavit reads. “Jarmarus then asked Officer King if he wanted to join him on a ‘stakeout’ to try to see where her vehicle was located.”
Horrific enough, but that was combined with other things his ex-girlfriend stated in her testimony, including Officer Jarmarus Brown insisting his girlfriend remain on the phone with him throughout her workday and surreptitiously placing an AirTag on her wallet.
And all of this makes Officer Brown (who served one [1!] day in jail before being released on probation) both the tip of iceberg and the par for the course.
I’m sure some commenters will show up to say stupid things about my sweeping generalizations. But the only reason I generalize is because there’s just so much out there in the public sphere that limiting myself to specific cases is waste of everyone’s time.
Every surveillance product has just made police misconduct more efficient. Name one that hasn’t. I’ll wait.
Accountability tech hasn’t produced better accountability. We get occasional wins from body cams and dash cams, but the fact is cops still have access to on/off switches and law enforcement agencies still retain control of recordings. More to the point: these are not technically “surveillance products.”
Everything else has given cops more options and more information. And far too many cops have chosen to apply the power and ignore the responsibility that’s supposed to come packaged with it.
Flock may still pretend it and its customers are above reproach, but it does at least generate publicly-accessible records that can be used to sniff out police misconduct that may have otherwise flown under the radar.
It is definitely the case that Flock’s audit tools have proven useful in holding police accountable, because journalists, activists, and concerned citizens from around the country have pored through Flock audit logs that they have obtained through public records requests to document abuse.
Hold your applause forever. This isn’t a triumph of transparency or the result of Flock trying to be a better public citizen. It’s the opposite thing: it’s the government doing next to nothing to hold public servants accountable and leaving it to the people with the least amount of power to do the heavy lifting for them:
[M]any cases of abuse have not been detected by police departments themselves but by those private citizens, journalists, and stalking victims who have found patterns of abuse in public records files they have obtained from their local police departments. In most cases of Flock-related stalking reviewed by 404 Media, the abuse occurred over the course of months or years, and the victims were subjected to dozens or hundreds of lookups.
Public leaders are supposed to set the example and make the tough decisions to hold public servants accountable. This demonstrates, yet again, they can’t be trusted to carry out even the most basic prerequisites of their positions. The public does the work and still pays the tab.
No government agency would ever do the sort of work being done by privacy activists, most likely because they’d rather not know just how bad things are in the surveillance state they’ve allowed to flourish. Just being underserved would be bad enough. But we’re getting actively screwed from multiple angles.
In Wisconsin, a stalking victim checked her own license plate on HaveIBeenFlocked.com and learned that City of Milwaukee Police Officer Josue Ayala had searched her license plate more than 100 times. After reporting this alleged abuse to the police, the agency ran its own audit and learned that Ayala had also searched the license plate of a second victim 124 times in a two-month span last year, according to court records. Each time, Ayala simply listed “investigation” as the reason for his search. In another alleged abuse case in Idaho, the police chief used Flock to allegedly stalk his wife using the reason “test” in the Flock system.
This should be so embarrassing that public figures would be calling for immediate reform and termination of Flock contracts. Instead, it usually leads to impasses where one side insists that any amount of surveillance is justified for “public safety” reasons while the other side is expected to spend their own time and money pursuing litigation in state and federal courts. Even when the abuses are obvious, officials pretend it’s a singular problem, rather than a trailing indicator of the expected outcome of giving even more power to people with plenty of power and long history of abusing it.
Opposition Mounts To Trump FCC Plan To Kill Burner Phone Anonymity, Ramp Up Surveillance [Techdirt]
Last month I noted how the Trump FCC had unveiled a brand new plan to “stop robocalls.”
As with most efforts the proposal doesn’t actually do much to stop robocalls because a well-lobbied U.S. government (1) refuses to hold big companies accountable or collect fines, (2) constantly embraces weak rules that make telemarketers and debt collectors happy through endlessly loopholes scammers then exploit, and (3) has an unhealthy fixation with undermining regulators at the behest of large companies.
But buried in the Trump FCC plan was another new effort we mentioned: one that involves cracking down on burner phones by forcing telecoms (the ones bone-grafted to our domestic surveillance operations) to dramatically scale up the information they collect from consumers.
That’s… understandably raised concerns among privacy advocates and civil rights groups well aware that greater surveillance will be abused by the Trump administration and beyond. It also ignores that there’s often very good reasons why abuse victims, whistleblowers, journalists, refugees, and others might be seeking an anonymous prepaid burner phone, privacy advocate Eric Null told 404 media:
“To address the scourge of illegal robocalls, the FCC has unfortunately proposed to force every wireless subscriber in the nation to sacrifice their privacy and give up significant personal details before receiving or renewing a wireless line. While some carriers already collect such details, there are specific circumstances where a person may need privacy and anonymity when seeking a cell phone, including if that person is a victim of domestic violence, or is a journalist or whistleblower. This proposal represents a loss of privacy across the board, and from an agency whose remit includes protecting privacy. The FCC might let a few bad apples spoil the whole bunch.”
Anonymity is one of the rights guaranteed by the First Amendment. The EFF notes this also isn’t likely to really stop criminals from finding ways to communicate anonymously:
“This proposal by the FCC will do little to combat scams and robocalls, since most people doing that will have no trouble creating fake documentation or identities,” Cooper Quintin, security researcher and senior public interest technologist with the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF), told 404 Media. “Given this administration’s crackdown on free expression, protest, immigrants, and women’s health we have trouble seeing this as a bold attack on freedom of communication. They want to take away our ability to make an anonymous phone call.”
So, in short, it won’t actually stop robocalls or criminal activity, but it will harm people who need anonymous communications tools to survive, and it will almost certainly lead to greater surveillance abuses by America’s corrupt, authoritarian government.
One plus side: the rules aren’t official yet. The FCC’s proposed plan is open to public input until June 25. You can file an express comment here; (the specific proceeding discussing new prepaid phone restrictions is 13-97).
Meta Must Face Adult Film Piracy Lawsuit as Court Denies Dismissal [TorrentFreak]
Last summer, adult content producers Strike 3 Holdings and Counterlife Media filed a copyright infringement lawsuit against Meta.
The complaint accused the tech company of using adult films to assist its AI model training. Similar claims have been made by other rightsholders, including many book authors.
This latest case specifically focuses on Meta’s BitTorrent activity. That’s no surprise, as plaintiff Strike 3 is the most active copyright litigant in the United States, known for targeting thousands of alleged BitTorrent pirates.
In October 2025, Meta responded to the allegations by filing a motion to dismiss at a California federal court. Taking a page from the BitTorrent piracy defense playbook, Meta argues that the IP address evidence presented by the plaintiffs is meaningless without context.
The porn producers had linked numerous Meta IP addresses to unauthorized sharing activity. According to Meta, however, there is no evidence that the alleged activity on its corporate network was centrally orchestrated by the company. In fact, it countered that many alleged downloads predate Meta’s AI training activity.
In addition to denying the allegations, the tech company offered an alternative explanation. Meta suggested that employees or visitors may have downloaded the pirated videos for personal use.
In an order released last week, U.S. District Judge Eumi K. Lee refused to throw the case out. In a 16-page order, she denied Meta’s motion and let all three of Strike 3’s direct, vicarious, and contributory copyright infringement claims proceed.

One of Meta’s lead arguments was that, in order to prove direct infringement, Strike 3 had to show its films were actually used to train a model. However, Judge Lee explained that this is not needed, as Meta’s alleged copying of the films via BitTorrent is copyright infringement.
“Because Plaintiffs have adequately pleaded that their exclusive rights under the Copyright Act were violated when their films were torrented, they have satisfied the second element, regardless of whether their films were used to train specific AI models,” the order reads.
Another key question was whether the torrenting activity can be attributed to Meta, or if the downloads came from employees, who downloaded content for personal use.
Strike 3 argued that the actions were coordinated by Meta, showing similar download patterns across 47 corporate IP addresses and seven hidden ranges. This includes files with the same keywords downloaded on the same day.
Judge Lee found the coincidence theory implausible and pointed at a spreadsheet of addresses grabbing files with “teen” in the title, from “Teen Titans” and “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles” through to explicit adult releases.
“The word “teen” appears in every file name. Similar patterns are shown repeatedly across the identified IP addresses. It strains credulity to suggest that these correlations are mere coincidence and the product of individual human selections,” Judge Lee noted.
“Instead, the many commonalities across files permit a reasonable inference that the downloads were operated by an algorithm using key terms, which accounts for why pornography was downloaded alongside children’s cartoons and sitcoms.”

Other download patterns also appeared to be illogical. For example, multiple IP-addresses from various ranges torrented eight episodes of Ted Lasso out of order, on a single day. Meta suggested that this could be coincidental download activity by several people, but Judge Lee believes this to be unlikely.
“But the odds that multiple people using the Corporate IP Addresses and the IP Ranges coincidentally torrented the same show, rather than simply streaming it, on the exact same day strains belief…”, Judge Lee writes.
The contributory copyright infringement claim also survives. While the motion to dismiss was pending, the Supreme Court handed down Cox Communications v. Sony, raising the bar for contributory infringement. However, that wasn’t enough to help Meta at this stage.
Judge Lee recognized that, if Meta merely offered its infrastructure to copyright infringers, this would not be sufficient to trigger liability.
“Standing alone, Plaintiffs’ allegation that Defendant ‘provid[ed] access to its servers, data centers, IP addresses, computers, networks, [and] accounts’ would be insufficient under Cox Communications,” she wrote.
However, Strike 3’s allegation went further, alleging that Meta encouraged copyright infringement by offering specific tools and services for it.
“Plaintiffs plausibly allege that Defendant took active steps to encourage torrenting by implementing an algorithm and establishing VPCs – tools tailored to infringe copyrighted works using BitTorrent.”

The vicarious copyright infringement also survived the motion to dismiss. According to Judge Lee, Meta has a direct financial interest in amassing high-quality training data for its commercial AI products.
While Meta’s motion to dismiss failed on all claims, the company’s defenses could still succeed further down the line, when the evidence is reviewed in detail.
For example, Meta argued that testimony in a related case shows that its torrenting servers went live in 2024, not 2018, so they cannot be the same infrastructure behind ranges active for years.
Additionally, Meta said much of the infringing activity in this case took place years before the company started training its video models. Those and other points will be contested in detail as the case proceeds.
For now, the case heads into discovery. Meta must answer the complaint, the parties are due to attempt mediation by early August, and a jury trial is set for February 2028.
—
A copy of Judge Eumi K. Lee’s order denying Meta’s motion to dismiss is available here (pdf).
From: TF, for the latest news on copyright battles, piracy and more.
Degrees of freedom [Seth Godin's Blog on marketing, tribes and respect]
When tech shows up, it offers a shortcut and convenience.
You can use Google Maps to direct you somewhere without paying much attention to the surroundings.
You can use Claude to write your marketing copy and get a better-than-mediocre result the first try.
You can look for a gift on Amazon, pick the first match, and be pretty sure it’ll do the job.
Tech adoption often focuses on making things easier, simpler, and pre-decided.
And yet… we can also decide to use tech to do more work, insert more humanity, and amplify flexibility. We don’t try to get our time back, we try to figure out how to leverage the time we’ve got.
When a film director uses AI to create storyboards, it’s a chance to generate multiple approaches to a scene, not just one. When we sit with all the data Google Maps offers us for a trip, we might plan a less direct route, with more stops and detours, simply because we now know what our options are. And once we know what the mediocre and average marketing copy looks like, we put in the time (and take the risks) to go to edges we never would have had the resources to explore in the old days.
The best tech gives us a chance to work harder on the parts that matter to our customers and to us.
Here’s the simple fork in the road:
Professionals and organizations that use AI to save time, cut costs, and lay people off are taking a lazy road to failure and irrelevance.
Those who use it to do harder, braver, and more powerful work, who figure out how to create more value and charge more for it, and who end up hiring more people to do so, will be defining our future.
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